Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña 3-2

LaLigaLaLiga 26/27

Real Sociedad

3–2

HT 2–0

Deportivo La Coruña

Sun 11 Oct·08:15·Matchday 8·Reale Arena, San Sebastian·Real Sociedad won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners10
1Cards2
12Shots21
4Shots on target7
14Fouls13
13Throw-ins16
4Offsides0
7Goal kicks5
6Saves1
18Tackles21
10Interceptions14
6Dribbles16

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

8 Free4 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

08:15Real SociedadvDeportivo La CoruñaLaLiga7 won / 5 lost · +2.19u · 12 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.52.22 at Superbet+1.22u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +21.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.22Model chance54.6%EV+21.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds17.00Closing chance estimate3.3%Closing EV estimate−43.4%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:36
- under 1.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:36
- under 2.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:36
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.22Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:36
- under 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:36
- under 5.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate85.8%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:36
- under 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:36
- under 7.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate97.2%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:36
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.52.20Model chance54.6%EV+20.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−16.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:38
- under 2.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:31
- under 3odds3.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:31
- under 4odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:31
- under 5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 5.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate85.8%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:31
- under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:31
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.52.20Model chance54.6%EV+20.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:39
- under 2.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:32
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:32
- under 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:32
- under 5.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate85.8%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:32
- under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:32
- under 7.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate97.2%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:32
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.52.05Model chance54.6%EV+11.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- under 4.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- under 5.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.8%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.52.20Model chance54.6%EV+20.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−16.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:41
- under 2.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:34
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:34
- under 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:34
- under 5.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate85.8%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:34
- under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:34
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.51.87Model chance54.6%EV+2.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:38
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:38
- under 4.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 3.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Real Sociedad total

Open match →FreeWon

under 1.52.05 at Betlive+1.05u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +4.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.05Model chance51.1%EV+4.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 2odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.15Model chance51.1%EV+9.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 2odds1.63Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.17Model chance51.1%EV+10.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate18.1%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:36
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.17Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:36
- under 2.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:36
- under 3.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:35
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.52.00Model chance48.8%EV-2.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 3.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
KambiClosing estimateunder 1.51.95Model chance48.8%EV-4.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- under 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 02:48: under 1.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 06:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPLost

under 24.52.05 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +12.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.52.05Model chance52.8%EV+8.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 22.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 23odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 23.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate45.1%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 24odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 25odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 25.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 26odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 27odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 27.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 28odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 28.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 24.52.10Model chance52.8%EV+11.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 22.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 23.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate45.1%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 28.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.52.05Model chance54.8%EV+12.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 22:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 24.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 22:04
- under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:08
- under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:34
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.52.10Model chance52.8%EV+11.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 22.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 23.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate45.1%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 25.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 26.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 27.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 28.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 20:36: under 24.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Deportivo La Coruña total

Open match →FreeLost

under 12.52.02 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +18.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.52.02Model chance58.7%EV+18.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 12.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.51.65Model chance57.3%EV-5.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate35.0%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 11odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 11.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 12odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 13odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.51.70Model chance57.3%EV-2.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate35.0%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 14.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.51.70Model chance57.3%EV-2.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 12.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Real Sociedad total

Open match →FreeLost

under 6.51.90 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +15.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.51.90Model chance60.6%EV+15.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.51.80Model chance50.6%EV-8.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 6odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 7odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.51.95Model chance50.6%EV-1.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.51.73Model chance50.6%EV-12.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate−24.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:04
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 02:48: under 6.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Deportivo La Coruña total

Open match →VIPWon

under 8.51.90 at Betlive+0.90u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +13.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.51.90Model chance59.8%EV+13.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 8odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 9odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 9.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 10odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 10.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 8.51.85Model chance59.8%EV+10.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 8.51.85Model chance59.8%EV+10.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 8.52.10Model chance59.3%EV+24.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- under 9.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+31.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:04

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 02:03: under 8.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 02:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 26.52.00 at Superbet+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +20.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 26.52.00Model chance60.0%EV+20.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 23.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 24.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 25.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 26.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 27.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 28.5odds2.42Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 29.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 30.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
BetliveClosing estimateover 26.52.00Model chance59.7%EV+19.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 23odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 23.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 24odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 25odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 26odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 27odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 27.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+27.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 28odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 28.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+29.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.52.00Model chance59.7%EV+19.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 23.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 27.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 28.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+31.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
KambiClosing estimateover 26.51.87Model chance59.7%EV+11.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- over 24.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 27.5odds2.14Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 28.5odds2.48Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 29.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.52.00Model chance59.7%EV+19.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 23.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 25.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 27.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+21.8%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 28.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 08:51: over 26.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 12:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Real Sociedad total

Open match →VIPLost

over 16.51.97 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +15.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 16.51.84Model chance58.0%EV+6.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 16.5odds1.94Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−16.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:05
KambiAt recommendationover 16.51.84Model chance61.8%EV+13.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 16.5odds1.94Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−16.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 17.5odds2.23Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−23.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
LiderbetAt recommendationover 16.52.18Model chance57.7%EV+25.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 15.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 16.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.51.97Model chance58.7%EV+15.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 14.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 15.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 17.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−21.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 18.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate−26.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 19.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate19.9%Closing EV estimate−36.3%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
Bet365Closing estimateover 16.51.83Model chance43.0%EV-21.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−21.1%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
BetliveClosing estimateover 16.52.10Model chance43.0%EV-9.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 14odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 15odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 15.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 16odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 17odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 17.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.52.10Model chance43.0%EV-9.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 15.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 17.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 08:51: over 16.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 21:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Deportivo La Coruña total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.51.87 at Kambi+0.87u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +13.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.51.65Model chance76.3%EV+25.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+32.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+47.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.51.87Model chance60.7%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+29.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:04
- over 9.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+32.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 10.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+38.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.51.70Model chance76.3%EV+29.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 9odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 10odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+39.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 11odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 11.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+53.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.51.60Model chance76.3%EV+22.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+32.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.51.62Model chance76.3%EV+23.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate95.2%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34
- over 7.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.62Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 10.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+29.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 12.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate+27.9%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 13.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate34.7%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:42: over 9.5 at 1.87 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 06:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.52.22 at Superbet+1.22u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +32.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 9.52.00Model chance60.4%EV+20.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:05
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.52.22Model chance59.6%EV+32.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate97.3%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 5.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate93.8%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.1%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 7.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 9.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 10.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate+29.6%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 11.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate34.7%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 12.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate25.0%Closing EV estimate+32.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.52.00Model chance57.9%EV+15.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 8odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 9odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 10odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 10.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.52.00Model chance57.9%EV+15.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate88.1%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
KambiClosing estimateover 9.52.12Model chance57.9%EV+22.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate88.1%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- over 7.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 8.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 10.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 11.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate34.7%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.52.00Model chance57.9%EV+15.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate88.1%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 7.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 10.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 11.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate34.7%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 12.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate25.0%Closing EV estimate+27.5%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 08:51: over 9.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 20:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Real Sociedad total

Open match →FreeLost

over 5.51.92 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +22.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.51.92Model chance63.7%EV+22.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 3.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 5.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 6.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate36.5%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 7.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate23.5%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 8.5odds5.55Closing chance estimate13.9%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
Bet365Closing estimateover 5.51.73Model chance52.1%EV-10.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:05
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.51.75Model chance52.1%EV-8.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- over 4.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 6odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 6.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate36.5%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.51.80Model chance52.1%EV-6.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 6.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate36.5%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
KambiClosing estimateover 5.51.94Model chance52.1%EV+1.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 4.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.94Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 6.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.5%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 7.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate23.5%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.51.75Model chance52.1%EV-8.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 6.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate36.5%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 08:51: over 5.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Deportivo La Coruña total

Open match →FreeWon

over 3.51.93 at BetMGM UK+0.93u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +3.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 3.51.93Model chance53.7%EV+3.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:05
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.52.25Model chance65.9%EV+48.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+48.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:05
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.51.90Model chance65.9%EV+25.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 3odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 4odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.95Model chance65.9%EV+28.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+15.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
- over 4.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate+39.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:02
KambiClosing estimateover 3.51.90Model chance65.9%EV+25.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate+37.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 5.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.90Model chance65.9%EV+25.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 4.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate+39.6%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.52.00Model chance65.9%EV+31.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate93.8%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 2.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 4.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate+39.6%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 5.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03
- over 6.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate17.7%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.93 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+18.3%ROI · 12 units staked

Profit+2.19units

W / L7 / 5picks

Avg odds2.00settled picks

Recorded picks121 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLaLiga Home teamReal Sociedad Away teamDeportivo La Coruña RefereeMiguel Sesma Espinosa