Real Betis vs Osasuna 5-2 — LaLiga

LaLigaLaLiga 26/27

Real Betis

5–2

HT 2–0

Osasuna

Sun 11 Oct·10:30·Matchday 8·Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville·Real Betis won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

8Corners4
2Cards5
20Shots11
7Shots on target5
11Fouls13
17Throw-ins10
0Offsides2
4Goal kicks5
3Saves3
15Tackles22
9Interceptions5
5Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

7 Free2 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

10:30Real BetisvOsasunaLaLiga6 won / 3 lost · +2.85u · 9 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 3.52.07 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +19.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.07Model chance57.5%EV+19.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate4.1%Closing EV estimate−42.7%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 1.5odds5.85Closing chance estimate16.9%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 2.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate37.3%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 3.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 4.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 5.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate88.5%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 7.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.0%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 8.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.3%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.52.10Model chance59.2%EV+24.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:45
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.51.90Model chance59.2%EV+12.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate16.9%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:00
- under 2.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate37.3%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:00
- under 3odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:00
- under 4odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 4.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:00
- under 5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 5.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate88.5%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:00
- under 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:34
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.51.90Model chance59.2%EV+12.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate16.9%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:01
- under 2.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate37.3%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:01
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:01
- under 4.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:01
- under 5.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate88.5%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:01
- under 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.51.98Model chance59.2%EV+17.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate37.3%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.98Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- under 4.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- under 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate88.5%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:35
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.51.90Model chance59.2%EV+12.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate16.9%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 2.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate37.3%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 5.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate88.5%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:38
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.51.95Model chance59.2%EV+15.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate37.3%Closing EV estimate+30.7%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10
- under 4.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 3.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Real Betis total

Open match →FreeLost

under 1.52.10 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +18.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.10Model chance56.3%EV+18.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−16.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:32
- under 1.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:32
- under 2.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:32
- under 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:32
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.51.65Model chance57.8%EV-4.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 2odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.51.60Model chance57.8%EV-7.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 2odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- under 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.51.65Model chance57.8%EV-4.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 01:22: under 1.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 01:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.51.91 at Bet365+0.91u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +4.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.51.91Model chance54.5%EV+4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:30
BetliveAt recommendationover 9.51.85Model chance54.5%EV+0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:31
- over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:19
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:19
- over 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 19:31
- over 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:19
- over 11.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 19:31
- over 12.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:31
- over 13.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:31
- over 14.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate12.6%Closing EV estimate−19.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:31
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.51.85Model chance54.5%EV+0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 19:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate94.1%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- over 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 19:31
- over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 19:31
- over 11.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 19:31
- over 12.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 13.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
LiderbetAt recommendationover 9.51.85Model chance54.5%EV+0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 19:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:33
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:33
- over 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 19:33
- over 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:33
- over 11.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 19:33
KambiClosing estimateover 9.51.72Model chance59.7%EV+2.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- over 7.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- over 8.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.72Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- over 10.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- over 11.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- over 12.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- over 13.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.51.95Model chance59.7%EV+16.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10
- over 10.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+24.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10
- over 11.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+32.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10
- over 12.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.51.90Model chance59.7%EV+13.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 22:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.7%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin2.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 3.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.1%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 4.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate97.4%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 5.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate94.1%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 7.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 8.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 10.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 11.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 12.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 13.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 22:34
- over 14.5odds7.10Closing chance estimate12.6%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 15.5odds9.50Closing chance estimate8.1%Closing EV estimate−23.1%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 16.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate5.0%Closing EV estimate−30.3%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 17.5odds19.00Closing chance estimate2.9%Closing EV estimate−44.1%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Osasuna total

Open match →FreeWon

over 3.51.91 at Bet365+0.91u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +15.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.51.91Model chance60.4%EV+15.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:04
KambiAt recommendationover 3.51.85Model chance60.4%EV+11.8%
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.51.65Model chance62.0%EV+2.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:31
- over 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:31
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:31
- over 4.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:31
- over 5.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.70Model chance62.0%EV+5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 5.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.65Model chance62.0%EV+2.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 2.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 4.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 5.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.52.00Model chance62.0%EV+24.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10
- over 4.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+38.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10
- over 5.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate+47.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.51.87Model chance62.0%EV+16.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 22:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 4.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 5.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 6.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate15.1%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 7.5odds9.10Closing chance estimate7.7%Closing EV estimate−30.0%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 22:34
- over 8.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate3.6%Closing EV estimate−46.2%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 9.5odds24.00Closing chance estimate1.5%Closing EV estimate−63.0%margin3.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPLost

under 23.52.10 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.52.10Model chance53.8%EV+13.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 22.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- under 23.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- under 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 22:34
BetliveClosing estimateunder 23.52.15Model chance61.2%EV+31.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 21.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 22odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 22.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+38.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 23odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+31.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 24odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 24.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+30.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 25odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 26odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 26.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 27odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 27.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- under 28odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.52.10Model chance61.2%EV+28.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 21.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+49.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- under 22.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+41.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- under 24.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+30.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- under 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- under 26.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- under 27.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.52.15Model chance61.2%EV+31.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 21.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 22.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+31.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 24.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+30.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 26.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 27.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 22:42: under 23.5 at 2.10 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Osasuna total

Open match →VIPWon

under 9.51.88 at Superbet+0.88u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 72.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.38. Expected value at recommendation: +36.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.51.35Model chance70.0%EV-5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- under 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.35Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- under 10.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:32
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.51.88Model chance72.8%EV+36.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.51.42Model chance70.0%EV-0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 06:01
- under 7.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:01
- under 8odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 06:01
- under 8.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:01
- under 9odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 06:01
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.42Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:01
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.51.35Model chance70.0%EV-5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate−8.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.35Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 02:48: under 9.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Real Betis total

Open match →FreeWon

over 17.52.25 at Liderbet+1.25u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +24.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 17.52.25Model chance55.5%EV+24.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 16.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 17.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
Bet365Closing estimateover 17.51.83Model chance57.0%EV+4.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 10:40
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 17.51.68Model chance57.0%EV-4.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:10
BetliveClosing estimateover 17.52.15Model chance57.0%EV+22.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 15odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 16odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 16.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 17odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 18odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 18.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate48.4%Closing EV estimate+28.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 17.52.20Model chance57.0%EV+25.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 15.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 16.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+24.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 18.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate48.4%Closing EV estimate+38.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
SuperbetClosing estimateover 17.51.92Model chance57.0%EV+9.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:05
- over 14.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 15.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 16.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 18.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate48.4%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 19.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 20.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 06:06: over 17.5 at 2.25 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Osasuna total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.51.90 at Kambi+0.90u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +17.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.51.28Model chance65.1%EV-16.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:32
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.28Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−19.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 11.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate42.3%Closing EV estimate−23.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 12.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate−29.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 13.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate−34.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.51.90Model chance62.0%EV+17.9%
Bet365Closing estimateover 9.51.83Model chance65.1%EV+19.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 10:40
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.51.32Model chance65.1%EV-14.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.32Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 10odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−16.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 11odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 11.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate42.3%Closing EV estimate−21.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 12odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate−26.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 13odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.51.39Model chance65.1%EV-9.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.39Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 10.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 11.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate42.3%Closing EV estimate−17.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 12.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate−21.9%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.51.80Model chance65.1%EV+17.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 10.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate42.3%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 12.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 13.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate−12.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 22:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 9.5 at 1.90 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 10:03. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.52.00 at Superbet+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.52.00Model chance52.4%EV+4.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 9.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate59.6%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 11.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 12.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 13.5odds5.65Closing chance estimate18.4%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
Bet365Closing estimateover 9.51.83Model chance59.6%EV+9.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate59.6%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 10:40
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.51.70Model chance59.6%EV+1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 9odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate59.6%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 10odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 11odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.51.65Model chance59.6%EV-1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate59.6%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:02
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.51.65Model chance59.6%EV-1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate59.6%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 12.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 11:47: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+31.6%ROI · 9 units staked

Profit+2.85units

W / L6 / 3picks

Avg odds2.01settled picks

Recorded picks91 matches

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CompetitionLaLiga Home teamReal Betis Away teamOsasuna RefereeCarlos Muniz Munoz

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Corners · Osasuna total

Fouls · match total

Goal kicks · Osasuna total

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