Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Queens Park Rangers

12:45

05:42:38

Derby County

Today·12:45·Matchday 10

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

2 Free2 VIP0 Free Active1 VIP Active

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12:45Queens Park RangersvDerby CountyChampionship2 picks · 0 active

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 10.51.91 at Bet365

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +11.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.51.91Model chance58.6%EV+11.9%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 16:31
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5same line and oddsodds1.91Current model chance51.9%Current EV−0.9%margin7.9%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 16:31
BetliveCurrentover 10.51.80Model chance51.9%EV-6.5%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 13:17
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.05Current model chance90.4%Current EV−5.1%margin11.6%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 01:30
- over 7.5odds1.14Current model chance83.4%Current EV−4.9%margin12.1%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 01:30
- over 8.5odds1.30Current model chance74.2%Current EV−3.5%margin14.0%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:00
- over 9.5odds1.50Current model chance63.5%Current EV−4.8%margin14.3%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:00
- over 10.5same line and oddsodds1.80Current model chance51.9%Current EV−6.5%margin14.4%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:00
- over 11.5odds2.20Current model chance40.6%Current EV−10.6%margin14.4%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:00
- over 12.5odds2.80Current model chance30.4%Current EV−15.0%margin13.8%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:00
- over 13.5odds3.85Current model chance21.7%Current EV−16.4%margin12.2%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 01:30
- over 14.5odds5.10Current model chance14.8%Current EV−24.3%margin12.2%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 13:17
CrocobetCurrentover 10.51.80Model chance51.9%EV-6.5%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 03:35
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.15Current model chance83.4%Current EV−4.1%margin13.6%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 03:35
- over 8.5odds1.30Current model chance74.2%Current EV−3.5%margin14.0%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:17
- over 9.5odds1.50Current model chance63.5%Current EV−4.8%margin14.3%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:17
- over 10.5same line and oddsodds1.80Current model chance51.9%Current EV−6.5%margin14.4%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:17
- over 11.5odds2.20Current model chance40.6%Current EV−10.6%margin14.4%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:17
- over 12.5odds2.80Current model chance30.4%Current EV−15.0%margin13.8%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:17
KambiCurrentover 10.51.83Model chance51.9%EV-5.0%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 17:40
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.17Current model chance83.4%Current EV−2.4%margin9.0%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:02
- over 8.5odds1.30Current model chance74.2%Current EV−3.5%margin9.7%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 09:51
- over 9.5odds1.52Current model chance63.5%Current EV−3.6%margin8.9%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 20:33
- over 10.5same line and oddsodds1.83Current model chance51.9%Current EV−5.0%margin9.0%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 20:33
- over 11.5odds2.25Current model chance40.6%Current EV−8.6%margin9.0%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 20:33
- over 12.5odds2.88Current model chance30.4%Current EV−12.5%margin8.8%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 17:40
- over 13.5odds3.80Current model chance21.7%Current EV−17.5%margin9.0%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 09:51
- over 14.5odds4.90Current model chance14.8%Current EV−27.3%margin8.9%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:21
LiderbetCurrentover 10.51.80Model chance51.9%EV-6.5%
Current bookmaker linesas of 11 Oct, 18:18
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.30Current model chance74.2%Current EV−3.5%margin14.0%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:18
- over 9.5odds1.50Current model chance63.5%Current EV−4.8%margin14.3%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:18
- over 10.5same line and oddsodds1.80Current model chance51.9%Current EV−6.5%margin14.4%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:18
- over 11.5odds2.20Current model chance40.6%Current EV−10.6%margin14.4%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:18
- over 12.5odds2.80Current model chance30.4%Current EV−15.0%margin13.8%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:18
Paddy PowerCurrentover 10.52.00Model chance51.9%EV+3.8%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 05:05
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.57Current model chance63.5%Current EV−0.3%margin8.1%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 05:05
- over 10.5best current valueodds2.00Current model chance51.9%Current EV+3.8%margin7.9%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 05:05
- over 11.5odds2.60Current model chance40.6%Current EV+5.6%margin7.7%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 05:05
- over 12.5odds3.60Current model chance30.4%Current EV+9.3%margin7.8%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 05:05
SuperbetCurrentover 10.51.90Model chance51.9%EV-1.3%
Current bookmaker linesas of 11 Oct, 18:20
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.05Current model chance95.2%Current EV−0.1%margin7.4%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- over 6.5odds1.11Current model chance90.4%Current EV+0.4%margin8.1%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- over 7.5odds1.22Current model chance83.4%Current EV+1.8%margin7.9%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- over 8.5odds1.37Current model chance74.2%Current EV+1.7%margin8.1%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- over 9.5odds1.59Current model chance63.5%Current EV+0.9%margin7.9%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- over 10.5same line and oddsodds1.90Current model chance51.9%Current EV−1.3%margin8.2%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- over 11.5odds2.35Current model chance40.6%Current EV−4.5%margin7.9%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- over 12.5odds2.95Current model chance30.4%Current EV−10.4%margin8.0%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- over 13.5odds3.80Current model chance21.7%Current EV−17.5%margin8.3%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- over 14.5odds4.90Current model chance14.8%Current EV−27.3%margin8.1%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- over 15.5odds6.50Current model chance9.7%Current EV−36.8%margin8.0%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 06:36: over 10.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 16:31. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Derby County total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 3.52.00 at Bet365

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +3.8%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picks and +8.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.52.00Model chance51.9%EV+3.8%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 13:29
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5best current valueodds2.00Current model chance51.9%Current EV+3.7%margin7.9%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 13:29
BetMGM UKCurrentover 3.52.18Model chance51.9%EV+13.0%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 19:33
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5best current valueodds2.18Current model chance51.9%Current EV+13.0%margin11.2%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 19:33
KambiCurrentover 3.52.18Model chance51.9%EV+13.0%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 17:40
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.47Current model chance71.1%Current EV+4.5%margin11.1%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 17:40
- over 3.5best current valueodds2.18Current model chance51.9%Current EV+13.0%margin11.2%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 17:40
SuperbetCurrentover 3.52.07Model chance51.9%EV+7.3%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 01:01
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.12Current model chance87.3%Current EV−2.2%margin11.5%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:54
- over 2.5odds1.44Current model chance71.1%Current EV+2.3%margin9.9%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 01:01
- over 3.5best current valueodds2.07Current model chance51.9%Current EV+7.3%margin8.6%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 01:01
- over 4.5odds3.10Current model chance34.0%Current EV+5.4%margin10.4%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 23:44
- over 5.5odds4.90Current model chance20.1%Current EV−1.7%margin11.3%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 23:44
- over 6.5odds7.70Current model chance10.7%Current EV−17.6%margin11.0%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 23:44

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 13:25. The original pick remains in the results.

2 additional VIP picks on this match.Unlock VIP details

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

No settled results yet. 1 active suggestion across 1 listed match.

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CompetitionChampionship Home teamQueens Park Rangers Away teamDerby County

Matches

Corners · match total

Shots on target · Derby County total

This match

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