Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake — MLS

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.52.10Model chance56.1%EV+17.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 15:15

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 2.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate−25.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:15
  • under 3odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
  • under 3.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:15
  • under 4odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
  • under 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:15
  • under 5odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
  • under 5.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin14.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:15
  • under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:15
  • under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
• CrocobetAt recommendationunder 4.52.10Model chance56.1%EV+17.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:32

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 2.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate−25.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:32
  • under 3.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:32
  • under 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:32
  • under 5.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin14.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:32
  • under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:32
  • under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:03
• LiderbetAt recommendationunder 4.52.10Model chance56.1%EV+17.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:07

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 2.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate−25.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:07
  • under 3.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:07
  • under 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:07
  • under 5.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin14.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:07
  • under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:07
  • under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:06
• SuperbetAt recommendationunder 4.52.10Model chance56.1%EV+17.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 15:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 0.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate1.3%Closing EV estimate−98.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:09
  • under 3.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:05
  • under 4.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:05
  • under 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:05
• Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.51.73Model chance56.8%EV-1.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 13:20

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 13:20
• BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.51.68Model chance56.8%EV-4.6%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
• KambiClosing estimateunder 4.51.68Model chance56.8%EV-4.6%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:06

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:06
  • under 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:45
• Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.51.70Model chance56.8%EV-3.4%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:35

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:35

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• BetliveAt recommendationunder 6.51.90Model chance56.2%EV+6.8%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 4.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
  • under 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
  • under 6.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
  • under 7.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
  • under 8.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
• Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.51.90Model chance56.2%EV+6.8%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:35

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 4.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
  • under 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
  • under 6.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
  • under 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
  • under 8.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
• Bet365Closing estimateunder 6.51.83Model chance52.8%EV-3.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:26
• CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.51.80Model chance52.8%EV-4.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • under 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
• SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.51.92Model chance52.8%EV+1.5%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 3.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate12.1%Closing EV estimate−28.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • under 4.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • under 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • under 7.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • under 8.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • under 9.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.52.10Model chance50.2%EV+5.5%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:26
• BetliveAt recommendationover 3.51.95Model chance52.4%EV+2.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
  • over 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
  • over 3.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−17.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
  • over 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−23.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
  • over 5.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate17.3%Closing EV estimate−30.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
• LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.51.95Model chance52.4%EV+2.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:35

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 1.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
  • over 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate−13.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
  • over 3.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−17.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
  • over 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−23.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
  • over 5.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate17.3%Closing EV estimate−27.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
• CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.60Model chance50.1%EV-19.8%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 4.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−26.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
• Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.51.85Model chance50.1%EV-7.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:08

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
  • over 4.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
  • over 5.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate17.3%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
• SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.51.83Model chance50.1%EV-8.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.3%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
  • over 1.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 2.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−8.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−18.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 5.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate17.3%Closing EV estimate−33.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 6.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate8.6%Closing EV estimate−50.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 26.51.83Model chance60.8%EV+11.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 15:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 26.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:05

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• BetliveAt recommendationover 3.51.90Model chance53.1%EV+1.0%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:00

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 17:31
  • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:00
  • over 2odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 15:15
  • over 2.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:00
  • over 3odds1.46Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:00
  • over 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:00
  • over 4odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:00
  • over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:00
  • over 5odds3.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:00
  • over 5.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:00
  • over 6odds6.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 15:15
• CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.51.90Model chance53.1%EV+1.0%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 17:32
  • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:03
  • over 2odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 15:03
  • over 2.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:02
  • over 3odds1.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 15:03
  • over 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:02
  • over 4odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:02
  • over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:02
  • over 5odds3.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:02
  • over 5.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:02
  • over 6odds6.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 15:03
• LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.51.90Model chance53.1%EV+1.0%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:04

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 17:34
  • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:04
  • over 2odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 15:05
  • over 2.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:04
  • over 3odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:04
  • over 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:04
  • over 4odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:04
  • over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:04
  • over 5odds3.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:04
  • over 5.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:04
  • over 6odds6.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:04
  • over 166.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 14:37
  • over 167.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 17:34
  • over 169.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
• Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.52.03Model chance53.1%EV+7.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 3.25odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin3.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3.75odds2.18Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
• Bet365Closing estimateover 3.51.83Model chance56.4%EV+3.3%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:40

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 16:40
  • over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 16:40
  • over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 16:40
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 16:40
  • over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin6.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 16:40
  • over 5.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 16:40
  • over 6.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate10.9%Closing EV estimate+20.3%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 16:40
  • over 7.5odds21.00Closing chance estimate5.0%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 16:40
• Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.52.02Model chance56.4%EV+13.8%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 0.75odds1.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 1odds1.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 1.25odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 1.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin0.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 1.75odds1.14Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 2odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 2.25odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 2.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 2.75odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3odds1.58Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3.25odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3.75odds2.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 4odds2.69Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 4.25odds3.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 4.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 4.75odds4.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 5odds5.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 5.25odds5.82Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 5.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin1.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 5.75odds8.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 6odds12.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 6.25odds12.92Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 6.5odds13.50Closing chance estimate10.9%Closing EV estimate+47.6%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 6.75odds18.24Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 7odds27.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 7.25odds28.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 7.5odds29.00Closing chance estimate5.0%Closing EV estimate+46.2%margin1.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
• Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.51.95Model chance56.4%EV+9.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:08

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin5.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
  • over 1.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
  • over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
  • over 4.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
  • over 5.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
  • over 6.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate10.9%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
• SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.51.92Model chance56.4%EV+8.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin3.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:14
  • over 1.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:05
  • over 2.25odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 2.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 2.75odds1.41Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3odds1.51Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3.25odds1.72Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3.75odds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 4odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 4.25odds2.67Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 4.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 5.5odds5.35Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 6.5odds9.80Closing chance estimate10.9%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin4.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 17.51.97Model chance55.2%EV+8.7%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 13.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:40
  • over 14.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:14
  • over 15.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 16.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 17.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 18.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 19.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 20.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 21.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• CrocobetAt recommendationover 10.52.10Model chance51.7%EV+8.7%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:35

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:35
  • over 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:35
  • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:35
• Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 10.51.86Model chance53.9%EV+0.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:06

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:06
  • over 9.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 17:39
  • over 10.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 17:39
  • over 11.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:42
  • over 12.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:06
• SuperbetAt recommendationover 10.52.27Model chance51.7%EV+17.5%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 5.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:14
  • over 6.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate91.5%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:14
  • over 7.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate85.0%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 9.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 11.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 12.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 13.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate24.2%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 14.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate16.9%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• CrocobetAt recommendationover 6.51.95Model chance59.3%EV+15.6%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:35

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.8%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:35
  • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:35
  • over 7.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:35
• Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.52.15Model chance56.4%EV+21.3%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 3.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:14
  • over 4.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:14
  • over 5.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate75.8%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 6.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:14
  • over 7.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:14
  • over 8.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate35.4%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:14
  • over 9.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate24.2%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:14
• KambiClosing estimateover 6.51.73Model chance62.6%EV+8.4%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:06

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 5.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate75.8%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 17:39
  • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 17:39
  • over 7.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:06
  • over 8.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate35.4%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:06

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.51.97Model chance50.8%EV+0.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 2.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 3.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate47.0%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 4.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 5.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate−21.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
  • over 6.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate7.2%Closing EV estimate−40.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
• BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.51.86Model chance47.0%EV-12.6%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:15

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.86Closing chance estimate47.0%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:15
• CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.52.00Model chance47.0%EV-6.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:35

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:35
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate47.0%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:35
  • over 4.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:35
• KambiClosing estimateover 3.51.86Model chance47.0%EV-12.6%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:06

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 2.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 17:39
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.86Closing chance estimate47.0%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 17:39
  • over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:06