PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur 0-1 — Eredivisie

EredivisieEredivisie 26/27

PEC Zwolle

0–1

HT 0–0

SC Cambuur

Sun 11 Oct·06:30·Matchday 8·Mac3Park Stadion·SC Cambuur won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners5
3Cards3
15Shots13
6Shots on target4
16Fouls15
18Throw-ins14
1Offsides4
9Goal kicks7
3Saves6
29Tackles19
11Interceptions10
5Dribbles10

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

9 Free3 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

06:30PEC ZwollevSC CambuurEredivisie2 won / 10 lost · −8.26u · 12 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 3.51.88 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +18.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.51.88Model chance63.0%EV+18.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate4.5%Closing EV estimate−94.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:38
- under 2.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
- under 3.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
- under 4.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.51.80Model chance62.5%EV+12.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:10
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.51.80Model chance62.5%EV+12.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 2.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 3odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 4odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 4.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.51.75Model chance62.5%EV+9.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- under 4.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- under 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.51.80Model chance62.5%EV+12.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 23:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:05
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:36
- under 4.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:05
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.51.45Model chance62.5%EV-9.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−20.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- under 2.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.45Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- under 4.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate−8.2%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- under 5.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 3.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →FreeLost

under 1.51.95 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.51.95Model chance51.7%EV+0.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate19.9%Closing EV estimate−79.1%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:38
- under 1.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.51.70Model chance52.1%EV-11.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 2odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.51.75Model chance52.1%EV-8.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
KambiClosing estimateunder 1.51.80Model chance52.1%EV-6.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
- under 2.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:12
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.51.24Model chance52.1%EV-35.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.24Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−35.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 11:51: under 1.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 04:04. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · SC Cambuur total

Open match →FreeLost

under 1.52.17 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +21.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.52.25Model chance56.5%EV+27.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+26.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 2odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.52.20Model chance55.7%EV+22.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.17Model chance55.7%EV+21.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:36
- under 2.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:36
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.05Model chance55.7%EV+14.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate22.6%Closing EV estimate−75.8%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:38
- under 1.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.52.30Model chance56.2%EV+29.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+29.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- under 2odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- under 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 06:47: under 1.5 at 2.17 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 10.52.10 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.52.10Model chance50.2%EV+5.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:25
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.51.95Model chance51.5%EV+0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
- over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin15.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 12.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
- over 13.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
- over 14.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate15.0%Closing EV estimate−14.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.51.95Model chance51.5%EV+0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin15.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 12.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
KambiClosing estimateover 10.52.04Model chance51.5%EV+5.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.04Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
- over 11.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
- over 12.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 13.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.51.95Model chance51.5%EV+0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin15.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 10.51.87Model chance51.5%EV-3.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- over 11.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- over 12.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.52.05Model chance51.5%EV+5.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.7%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 5.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.8%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 7.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 8.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 9.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 11.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 12.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 13.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 14.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate15.0%Closing EV estimate−15.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 10.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →FreeLost

over 5.52.00 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +18.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.52.00Model chance59.3%EV+18.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:51
KambiAt recommendationover 5.52.04Model chance59.3%EV+20.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
- over 4.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.04Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
- over 6.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:36
- over 7.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 8.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−19.2%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
SuperbetAt recommendationover 5.52.00Model chance59.3%EV+18.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 3.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 6.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 7.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 8.5odds5.35Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.51.95Model chance54.5%EV+6.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
- over 4.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
- over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
- over 7.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.51.85Model chance54.5%EV+0.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.51.95Model chance54.5%EV+6.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:33
- over 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:33
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:33
- over 6.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:33
- over 7.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:33
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 5.51.83Model chance54.5%EV-0.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
- over 3.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
- over 4.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 5.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · SC Cambuur total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.51.94 at BetMGM UK+0.94u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.51.94Model chance51.9%EV+0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.51.91Model chance53.2%EV+1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:51
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.51.65Model chance53.2%EV-12.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
- over 3.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
- over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
- over 6.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−22.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.65Model chance53.2%EV-12.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- over 6.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−23.6%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
KambiClosing estimateover 4.51.87Model chance53.2%EV-0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
- over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:36
- over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 7.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate−36.4%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.65Model chance53.2%EV-12.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:33
- over 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:33
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:33
- over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:33
- over 6.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−21.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:33
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.51.73Model chance53.2%EV-8.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
- over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.51.88Model chance53.2%EV+0.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 5.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 6.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 7.5odds5.35Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate−31.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 1.94 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →VIPWon

under 1.51.80 at Liderbet+0.80u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.51.80Model chance57.6%EV+3.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.51.60Model chance57.8%EV-7.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 2odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:36: under 1.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 29.52.28 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +28.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 29.52.28Model chance56.4%EV+28.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 26.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 27.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
- over 28.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
- over 29.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
SuperbetClosing estimateover 29.52.40Model chance58.3%EV+39.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:04
- over 24.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:04
- over 25.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:04
- over 26.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:04
- over 27.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:04
- over 28.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+32.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:04
- over 29.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+39.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 30.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+46.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34
- over 31.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate45.7%Closing EV estimate+53.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:04
BetliveClosing estimateover 29.52.45Model chance58.3%EV+42.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 24.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 25odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 26odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 27odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 27.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 28odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 28.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 29odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 29.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+42.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 30odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 30.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+45.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
LiderbetClosing estimateover 29.52.10Model chance58.3%EV+22.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 26.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 27.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 28.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 29.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 30.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+30.0%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 06:47: over 29.5 at 2.28 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →VIPLost

over 15.51.97 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +19.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 15.52.00Model chance61.2%EV+22.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 15.51.97Model chance60.9%EV+19.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:36
- over 15.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
LiderbetAt recommendationover 15.51.95Model chance68.1%EV+32.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 14.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
SuperbetAt recommendationover 15.52.05Model chance60.9%EV+24.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:04
- over 12.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
- over 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
- over 14.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:04
- over 15.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+27.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:04
- over 16.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
- over 17.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+31.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.52.05Model chance61.8%EV+26.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 14odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 14.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 15odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+26.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 16odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 16.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 06:47: over 15.5 at 1.97 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 10.52.42 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +27.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.52.42Model chance52.8%EV+27.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate96.0%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:36
- over 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.9%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
- over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34
- over 8.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 9.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+26.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:43
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.42Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+32.6%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:34
- over 11.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+38.4%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:36
- over 12.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate+49.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:04
- over 13.5odds5.85Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate+36.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:36
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.52.35Model chance54.8%EV+28.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 8odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 9odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 10odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 11odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
KambiClosing estimateover 10.52.10Model chance54.8%EV+15.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:36
- over 9.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
- over 11.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.52.25Model chance54.8%EV+23.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+23.3%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 11.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 11:51: over 10.5 at 2.42 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →FreeLost

over 6.52.90 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +45.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 6.52.90Model chance50.1%EV+45.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 5.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:36
- over 6.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+25.8%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:19
LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.52.70Model chance44.1%EV+19.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 5.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.70Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 6.52.92Model chance44.1%EV+28.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 23:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:36
- over 3.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34
- over 4.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34
- over 5.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.92Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+28.9%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34
- over 7.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate30.1%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34
- over 8.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 18:04: over 6.5 at 2.90 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 19:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · SC Cambuur total

Open match →FreeLost

over 4.52.00 at BetMGM UK−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.52.00Model chance50.3%EV+0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.52.10Model chance52.1%EV+9.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 4odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 5odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
KambiClosing estimateover 4.51.88Model chance52.1%EV-2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 5.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:36
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.52.05Model chance52.1%EV+6.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 5.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.52.12Model chance52.1%EV+10.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34
- over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
- over 3.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34
- over 5.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34
- over 6.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate21.1%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34
- over 7.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−19.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.00 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−68.8%ROI · 12 units staked

Profit−8.26units

W / L2 / 10picks

Avg odds2.12settled picks

Recorded picks121 matches

Around this match

CompetitionEredivisie Home teamPEC Zwolle Away teamSC Cambuur Refereevan der Eijk, Sander

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · PEC Zwolle total

Cards · SC Cambuur total

Corners · match total

Corners · PEC Zwolle total

Corners · SC Cambuur total

Offsides · PEC Zwolle total

Shots · match total

Shots · PEC Zwolle total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · PEC Zwolle total

Shots on target · SC Cambuur total

This match

Around this match

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