New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC — MLS

MLSMLS 2026

New England Revolution

0–3

HT 0–1

Seattle Sounders FC

Sat 10 Oct··Gillette Stadium·Seattle Sounders FC won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 8Corners5
  • 1Cards2
  • 13Shots9
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 6Fouls15
  • 16Throw-ins11
  • 0Offsides3
  • 5Goal kicks4
  • 2Saves5
  • 11Tackles12
  • 4Interceptions9
  • 0Dribbles2
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
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Board

Matches

1 match
New England RevolutionvSeattle Sounders FCMLS2 won / 3 lost · −1.08u · 5 picks

Corners · New England Revolution total

Open match →FreeLost
under 5.51.90 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.51.90Model chance53.0%EV+0.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.51.95Model chance53.0%EV+3.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.51.83Model chance49.6%EV-9.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.51.80Model chance49.6%EV-10.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 5.51.86Model chance49.6%EV-7.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds2.48Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−17.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.86Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.51.91Model chance49.6%EV-5.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−33.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.51.92Model chance49.6%EV-4.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−43.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−24.8%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−13.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 01:06: under 5.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 17:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Seattle Sounders FC total

Open match →FreeLost
over 11.51.90 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.51.90Model chance57.1%EV+8.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate42.5%Closing EV estimate−17.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate−23.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate24.0%Closing EV estimate−30.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−38.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 17:42: over 11.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 01:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · New England Revolution total

Open match →FreeLost
over 5.51.97 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.51.97Model chance52.1%EV+2.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.0%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate22.7%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds5.55Closing chance estimate13.5%Closing EV estimate−25.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 5.51.92Model chance50.9%EV-2.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.51.85Model chance50.9%EV-5.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.51.92Model chance50.9%EV-2.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 17:51: over 5.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 17:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · New England Revolution total

Open match →FreeWon
under 5.51.82 at Kambi+0.82u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.51.82Model chance55.3%EV+0.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−22.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate−12.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 5.51.70Model chance49.1%EV-16.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.51.65Model chance49.1%EV-19.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−27.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate−12.9%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.51.75Model chance49.1%EV-14.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate8.0%Closing EV estimate−50.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate18.4%Closing EV estimate−32.9%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−21.3%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−14.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate86.5%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 17:47: under 5.5 at 1.82 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Seattle Sounders FC total

Open match →FreeWon
over 4.52.10 at Superbet+1.10u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +11.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • KambiAt recommendationover 4.52.00Model chance53.1%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.86Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.52.10Model chance53.1%EV+11.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.1%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate19.1%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate10.3%Closing EV estimate−29.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.52.00Model chance49.0%EV-2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 17:42: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−21.6%ROI · 5 units staked
Profit−1.08units
W / L2 / 3picks
Avg odds1.94settled picks
Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionMLSHome teamNew England RevolutionAway teamSeattle Sounders FCRefereeTori Penso

Previous meetings