Napoli vs Frosinone 3-0 — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Napoli

3–0

HT 2–0

Frosinone

Sat 10 Oct·12:45·Matchday 6·Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples·Napoli won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners4
2Cards0
19Shots17
8Shots on target1
8Fouls12
24Throw-ins8
1Offsides2
19Goal kicks8
1Saves5
9Tackles18
10Interceptions15
5Dribbles9

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

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Board

Matches

1 match

12:45NapolivFrosinoneSerie A8 won / 3 lost · +6.17u · 11 picks

Cards · Frosinone total

Open match →FreeWon

under 1.52.10 at Crocobet+1.10u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +33.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.52.05Model chance63.9%EV+31.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate+33.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- under 2odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- under 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate87.1%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.10Model chance63.5%EV+33.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate+36.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate87.1%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- under 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate96.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.52.35Model chance63.5%EV+49.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds1.93Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate87.1%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.10Model chance63.5%EV+33.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate+36.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:35
- under 2odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 00:06
- under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate87.1%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:35
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.51.95Model chance64.9%EV+26.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate29.0%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate+26.6%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- under 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate87.1%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- under 3.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate96.3%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:19: under 1.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Frosinone total

Open match →FreeWon

over 3.52.00 at Bet365+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.52.00Model chance58.5%EV+16.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:15
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 3.52.02Model chance58.4%EV+18.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.79Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
KambiAt recommendationover 3.52.02Model chance58.4%EV+18.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.7%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 2.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 4.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 5.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate21.6%Closing EV estimate−18.8%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 6.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−36.3%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.51.95Model chance58.4%EV+14.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:32
- over 1.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate89.7%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:32
- over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:32
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:00
- over 4.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:32
- over 5.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate21.6%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:32
- over 6.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−23.6%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:32
- over 7.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate5.7%Closing EV estimate−43.5%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:32
- over 8.5odds17.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−56.9%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:32
- over 9.5odds27.00Closing chance estimate1.1%Closing EV estimate−71.5%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:32
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.51.80Model chance55.3%EV-0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate89.7%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:01
- over 4.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:31
- over 5.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate21.6%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.85Model chance55.3%EV+2.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:03
- over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:03
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:03
- over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:03
- over 5.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate21.6%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.70Model chance55.3%EV-6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate89.7%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 5.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate21.6%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.51.91Model chance55.3%EV+5.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
- over 4.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
- over 5.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate21.6%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPWon

under 20.53.00 at Betlive+2.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 70.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.43. Expected value at recommendation: +110.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 20.53.00Model chance70.3%EV+110.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 21odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 21.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+89.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 22odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 22.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+70.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 23odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+58.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 24odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate91.5%Closing EV estimate+46.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 25odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 25.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+33.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 26odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 26.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate96.2%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 27odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- under 27.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- under 28odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- under 28.5odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- under 29odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 20.53.10Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 21.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+89.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 22.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+66.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+58.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate91.5%Closing EV estimate+46.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+36.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 26.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate96.2%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 27.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- under 28.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- under 29.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 20.52.80Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:37
- under 21.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+81.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:37
- under 22.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+70.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:37
- under 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+58.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:37
- under 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate91.5%Closing EV estimate+41.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:37
- under 25.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+31.0%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:37
- under 26.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate96.2%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:37
- under 27.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
- under 28.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:06: under 20.5 at 3.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 04:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Frosinone total

Open match →FreeWon

under 13.51.87 at Superbet+0.87u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 74.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.35. Expected value at recommendation: +38.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 13.51.87Model chance74.1%EV+38.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 13.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+71.9%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
BetliveClosing estimateunder 13.51.50Model chance85.1%EV+27.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 12odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 12.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+39.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 13odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 14odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- under 15odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 13.51.55Model chance85.1%EV+31.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+67.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- under 11.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- under 12.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+43.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- under 14.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- under 15.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 13.51.55Model chance85.1%EV+31.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- under 12.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+43.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- under 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 13.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Saves · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 6.51.85 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +0.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.51.85Model chance54.1%EV+0.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:36
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate58.9%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:36
- over 7.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate44.6%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:36
CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.51.55Model chance58.9%EV-8.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate58.9%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:33
- over 7.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate44.6%Closing EV estimate−13.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:33
- over 8.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate31.6%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:33
KambiClosing estimateover 6.51.74Model chance58.9%EV+2.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.74Closing chance estimate58.9%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 7.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate44.6%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 8.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate31.6%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:11

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:42: over 6.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 13:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 32.52.02 at Superbet+1.02u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +1.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationover 32.51.89Model chance53.9%EV+1.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 28.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:41
- over 29.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 30.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 31.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 32.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 33.5odds2.06Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 34.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 35.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 36.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate35.0%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:09
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 32.52.02Model chance50.0%EV+1.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 27.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.1%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 28.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 29.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 30.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 31.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 32.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 33.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 34.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 35.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
BetliveClosing estimateover 32.52.00Model chance57.6%EV+15.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 28.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 29odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 29.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 30odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 30.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 31odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 31.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 32odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 33odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 33.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 34odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 34.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 35odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 35.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
CrocobetClosing estimateover 32.51.95Model chance57.6%EV+12.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 28.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 29.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 30.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 31.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 33.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 34.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 32.51.95Model chance57.6%EV+12.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 28.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
- over 29.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
- over 30.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
- over 31.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
- over 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
- over 33.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
- over 34.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: over 32.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Napoli total

Open match →VIPLost

over 20.52.40 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +28.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 20.52.40Model chance53.4%EV+28.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 16.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 17odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 17.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 18odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 18.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 19odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 19.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 20odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 21odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
CrocobetAt recommendationover 20.52.65Model chance53.4%EV+41.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 16.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 17.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 18.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 19.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.65Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
KambiClosing estimateover 20.52.15Model chance46.9%EV+0.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 17.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 18.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 19.5odds1.89Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 21.5odds2.33Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:11
- over 22.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate−25.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 20.52.12Model chance46.9%EV-0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 16.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 17.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 18.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 19.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 21.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 22.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 23.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−19.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 03:06: over 20.5 at 2.40 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 10:23. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Frosinone total

Open match →VIPWon

over 11.52.08 at Kambi+1.08u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +27.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 11.52.08Model chance61.4%EV+27.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+30.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
- over 10.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+39.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
- over 11.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:09
- over 12.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 13.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
SuperbetAt recommendationover 11.52.00Model chance61.4%EV+22.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate91.5%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 9.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 10.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 11.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 12.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 13.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 14.5odds2.87Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 15.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.51.45Model chance70.1%EV+1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.45Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 12odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 12.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 13odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 13.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 14odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 14.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.51.40Model chance70.1%EV-1.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.40Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 13.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 14.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 15.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.51.40Model chance70.1%EV-1.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.40Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
- over 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
- over 13.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 11.5 at 2.08 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 05:02. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 10.52.30 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +19.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationover 10.52.06Model chance51.9%EV+7.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:57
- over 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 8.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 9.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 12.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 13.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.52.30Model chance51.9%EV+19.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:09
- over 8.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 10.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 12.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+28.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 13.5odds5.35Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.52.15Model chance55.6%EV+19.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 8.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 9odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 9.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 10odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 11odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 11.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+22.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.52.10Model chance55.6%EV+16.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- over 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.52.35Model chance55.6%EV+30.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
- over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
- over 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+30.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
- over 11.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+38.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
- over 12.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+43.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:19: over 10.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Napoli total

Open match →FreeWon

over 6.52.10 at Kambi+1.10u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 6.52.15Model chance58.6%EV+25.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 6odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- over 7odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
CrocobetAt recommendationover 6.51.95Model chance54.9%EV+7.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- over 7.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 6.52.10Model chance53.4%EV+12.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate91.5%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 5.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 6.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 7.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 8.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
LiderbetAt recommendationover 6.52.00Model chance56.3%EV+12.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
- over 5.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
- over 6.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
- over 7.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
SuperbetAt recommendationover 6.52.20Model chance54.9%EV+20.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- over 3.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate91.5%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 5.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 6.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 7.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 8.5odds4.55Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 6.5 at 2.10 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:58. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Frosinone total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.52.00 at Bet365+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.00Model chance52.3%EV+4.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate−20.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.52.12Model chance40.0%EV-15.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.51.85Model chance40.0%EV-26.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate−26.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- under 4odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
- under 4.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate−17.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.51.70Model chance40.0%EV-32.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate21.4%Closing EV estimate−43.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate−32.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- under 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate−22.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.52.10Model chance40.0%EV-16.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate8.0%Closing EV estimate−65.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:57
- under 2.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate21.4%Closing EV estimate−27.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate−16.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.51.90Model chance40.0%EV-24.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate21.4%Closing EV estimate−39.1%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate−24.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
- under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:03
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.52.12Model chance40.0%EV-15.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate1.6%Closing EV estimate−76.7%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 1.5odds6.30Closing chance estimate8.0%Closing EV estimate−49.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 2.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate21.4%Closing EV estimate−26.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 4.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+56.1%ROI · 11 units staked

Profit+6.17units

W / L8 / 3picks

Avg odds2.16settled picks

Recorded picks111 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie A Home teamNapoli Away teamFrosinone RefereeErmanno Feliciani

Matches

Cards · Frosinone total

Corners · Frosinone total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Frosinone total

Saves · match total

Shots · match total

Shots · Napoli total

Shots · Frosinone total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Napoli total

Shots on target · Frosinone total

This match

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