Motherwell vs Celtic 0-2 — Scottish Premiership

Scottish PremiershipPremiership 26/27

Motherwell

0–2

HT 0–1

Celtic

Sun 11 Oct·05:00·Matchday 8·Celtic won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

2Corners9
1Cards2
8Shots25
2Shots on target15
3Fouls4
25Throw-ins21
2Offsides1
8Goal kicks3
12Saves2
15Tackles14
7Interceptions9
2Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

3 Free3 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

05:00MotherwellvCelticScottish Premiership4 won / 2 lost · +2.32u · 6 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 10.52.10 at Bet365+1.10u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 80.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.25. Expected value at recommendation: +68.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.52.10Model chance80.4%EV+68.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+64.6%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
KambiClosing estimateover 10.51.85Model chance78.4%EV+45.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate97.6%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 8.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 9.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+45.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 11.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 12.5odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 13.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate50.0%Closing EV estimate+90.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.51.80Model chance78.4%EV+41.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate97.6%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 7.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 9.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+26.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+41.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 11.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 12.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 13.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate50.0%Closing EV estimate+82.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 14.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate40.3%Closing EV estimate+101.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.51.75Model chance78.4%EV+37.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- over 11.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- over 12.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- over 13.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate50.0%Closing EV estimate+87.5%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.51.80Model chance78.4%EV+41.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 21:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.6%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 7.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 8.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+41.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 11.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 12.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 13.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate50.0%Closing EV estimate+90.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 14.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate40.3%Closing EV estimate+111.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.52.00Model chance78.4%EV+56.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate99.0%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate97.6%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:08
- over 7.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 8.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+41.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+56.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 11.5odds2.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 12.5odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 13.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate50.0%Closing EV estimate+100.0%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 14.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate40.3%Closing EV estimate+113.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 15.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate+116.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 10.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Celtic total

Open match →FreeWon

over 6.52.00 at Bet365+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 72.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.38. Expected value at recommendation: +45.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 6.52.00Model chance72.9%EV+45.9%
KambiAt recommendationover 6.52.25Model chance72.9%EV+64.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 5.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 6.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+45.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 7.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+56.5%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
BetliveClosing estimateover 6.51.95Model chance70.0%EV+36.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+36.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 7.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+48.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
- over 8.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate43.7%Closing EV estimate+63.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:00
CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.51.85Model chance70.0%EV+29.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+29.5%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- over 7.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+48.0%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.51.90Model chance70.0%EV+33.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 21:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+33.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 7.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+50.8%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
- over 8.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate43.7%Closing EV estimate+70.3%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 21:32
SuperbetClosing estimateover 6.52.07Model chance70.0%EV+44.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 4.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 5.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+32.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+44.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 7.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+56.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 8.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate43.7%Closing EV estimate+65.9%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 9.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate31.6%Closing EV estimate+65.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 6.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · Motherwell total

Open match →VIPLost

under 1.52.05 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.05Model chance52.2%EV+6.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- under 2odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- under 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.51.95Model chance52.5%EV+2.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 01:03: under 1.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 28.52.05 at Superbet+1.05u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 71.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.41. Expected value at recommendation: +45.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.52.05Model chance71.0%EV+45.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate89.7%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:04
- over 24.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 25.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
- over 26.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+27.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 27.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+36.5%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 22:34
- over 28.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+45.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 22:34
- over 29.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+52.8%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 22:34
- over 30.5odds2.87Closing chance estimate55.9%Closing EV estimate+60.5%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 22:34
- over 31.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate50.0%Closing EV estimate+69.8%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 22:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 28.51.95Model chance67.6%EV+31.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 24.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 25odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 25.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 26odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 26.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 27odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 27.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 28odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+31.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 29odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 29.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+39.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 30odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 30.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate55.9%Closing EV estimate+51.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.51.95Model chance67.6%EV+31.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 25.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 26.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 27.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+31.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 29.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+39.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:17: over 28.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 05:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Motherwell total

Open match →VIPLost

over 11.51.97 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +10.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.51.97Model chance55.9%EV+10.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate89.7%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:04
- over 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:04
- over 9.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate74.4%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:04
- over 10.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:04
- over 11.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:04
- over 12.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:04
- over 13.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:04
- over 14.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate24.7%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.51.75Model chance53.8%EV-5.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 11odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 12odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 12.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 13odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.51.85Model chance53.8%EV-0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 12.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:17: over 11.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 10.52.17 at Superbet+1.17u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +25.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.52.17Model chance57.9%EV+25.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:05
- over 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 8.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:34
- over 9.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:04
- over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate54.1%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:04
- over 11.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate+24.6%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:04
- over 12.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:04
- over 13.5odds5.35Closing chance estimate23.2%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:04
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.52.10Model chance54.1%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 9odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 10odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.1%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 11odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
- over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:00
KambiClosing estimateover 10.52.06Model chance54.1%EV+11.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:09
- over 9.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.06Closing chance estimate54.1%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:41
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.52.10Model chance54.1%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.1%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:17: over 10.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 05:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+38.7%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit+2.32units

W / L4 / 2picks

Avg odds2.06settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionScottish Premiership Home teamMotherwell Away teamCeltic

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Celtic total

Offsides · Motherwell total

Shots · match total

Shots · Motherwell total

Shots on target · match total

This match

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