Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27

Today··Matchday 2·Etihad Stadium, Manchester

4 Free0 VIP3 Free Active0 VIP Active

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Matches

1 match
Manchester CityvParis Saint-GermainUEFA Champions League4 picks · 3 active

Cards · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeActive
under 1.52.10 at Liderbet

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Current model chance 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Current expected value: +12.6%.

This league is still collecting results. The bookmaker’s overall market record determines the tier. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetCurrentunder 1.51.85Model chance53.6%EV-0.8%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 08:49

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 0.5odds4.00Current model chance21.2%Current EV−15.2%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • under 1.5odds1.85Current model chance53.6%Current EV−0.8%margin11.2%Validated estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.28Current model chance78.8%Current EV+0.9%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.04Current model chance92.2%Current EV−4.1%margin11.5%Validated estimate
  • Liderbetcurrent suggestionCurrentunder 1.52.10Model chance53.6%EV+12.6%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 04:01

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 1.5best current valueodds2.10Current model chance53.6%Current EV+12.6%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.35Current model chance78.8%Current EV+6.4%margin11.8%Validated estimate
  • SuperbetCurrentunder 1.51.82Model chance53.6%EV-2.5%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 07:32

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 0.5odds4.15Current model chance21.2%Current EV−12.0%margin9.6%Validated estimate
    • under 1.5odds1.82Current model chance53.6%Current EV−2.5%margin7.0%Validated estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.22Current model chance78.8%Current EV−3.8%margin9.4%Validated estimate
  • BetliveCurrentunder 1.52.15Model chance53.6%EV+15.2%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 00:33

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 1.5best current valueodds2.15Current model chance53.6%Current EV+15.2%margin13.2%Validated estimate
    • under 2odds1.65Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 2.5odds1.40Current model chance78.8%Current EV+10.4%margin12.2%Validated estimate
  • KambiCurrentunder 1.51.78Model chance53.6%EV-4.6%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 10:36

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 1.5same line and oddsodds1.78Current model chance53.6%Current EV−4.6%margin8.8%Validated estimate

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: under 1.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreeActive
under 4.51.80 at Liderbet

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Current model chance 60.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Current expected value: +9.6%.

This league is still collecting results. The bookmaker’s overall market record determines the tier. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetcurrent suggestionCurrentunder 4.51.80Model chance60.9%EV+9.6%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 03:10

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 1.5odds7.80Current model chance9.5%Current EV−25.6%margin11.8%Validated estimate
    • under 2.5odds4.35Current model chance23.9%Current EV+4.0%margin12.3%Validated estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.55Current model chance42.5%Current EV+8.4%margin12.2%Validated estimate
    • under 4.5best current valueodds1.80Current model chance60.9%Current EV+9.6%margin12.7%Validated estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.40Current model chance75.9%Current EV+6.2%margin12.2%Validated estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.17Current model chance86.4%Current EV+1.0%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.05Current model chance92.9%Current EV−2.5%margin11.9%Validated estimate
  • BetliveCurrentunder 4.51.70Model chance60.9%EV+3.5%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 00:33

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 3.5odds2.40Current model chance42.5%Current EV+2.0%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 4odds2.00Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance60.9%Current EV+3.5%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • under 5odds1.44Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 5.5odds1.33Current model chance75.9%Current EV+0.9%margin11.6%Validated estimate
  • CrocobetCurrentunder 4.51.65Model chance60.9%EV+0.5%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 00:34

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 2.5odds4.50Current model chance23.9%Current EV+7.6%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.30Current model chance42.5%Current EV−2.3%margin12.4%Validated estimate
    • under 4.5same line and oddsodds1.65Current model chance60.9%Current EV+0.5%margin11.9%Validated estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.30Current model chance75.9%Current EV−1.4%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.10Current model chance86.4%Current EV−5.0%margin12.0%Validated estimate

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 03:12: under 4.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →FreeActive
over 28.51.85 at Betlive

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Current model chance 55.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Current expected value: +3.3%.

This league is still collecting results. The bookmaker’s overall market record determines the tier. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivecurrent suggestionCurrentover 28.51.85Model chance55.8%EV+3.3%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 04:01

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 25odds1.26Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 25.5odds1.34Current model chance73.5%Current EV−1.5%margin11.7%Validated estimate
    • over 26odds1.37Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 26.5odds1.48Current model chance67.9%Current EV+0.5%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • over 27odds1.50Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin13.2%Model unavailable
    • over 27.5odds1.65Current model chance62.0%Current EV+2.3%margin11.9%Validated estimate
    • over 28odds1.75Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin11.2%Model unavailable
    • over 28.5best current valueodds1.85Current model chance55.8%Current EV+3.3%margin11.2%Validated estimate
    • over 29odds2.00Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • over 29.5odds2.10Current model chance49.6%Current EV+4.2%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • over 30odds2.30Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.4%Model unavailable
    • over 30.5odds2.45Current model chance43.5%Current EV+6.6%margin12.2%Validated estimate
    • over 31odds2.75Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin11.6%Model unavailable
    • over 31.5odds2.85Current model chance37.7%Current EV+7.3%margin12.0%Validated estimate
  • Bet365Currentover 28.51.73Model chance55.8%EV-3.6%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 19:33

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 28.5same line and oddsodds1.73Current model chance55.8%Current EV−3.6%margin7.9%Validated estimate
  • CrocobetCurrentover 28.51.70Model chance55.8%EV-5.1%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 09:14

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 24.5odds1.10Current model chance78.7%Current EV−13.5%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.22Current model chance73.5%Current EV−10.3%margin12.3%Validated estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.35Current model chance67.9%Current EV−8.3%margin11.8%Validated estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.50Current model chance62.0%Current EV−7.0%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • over 28.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance55.8%Current EV−5.1%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.90Current model chance49.6%Current EV−5.7%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.20Current model chance43.5%Current EV−4.2%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • over 31.5odds2.65Current model chance37.7%Current EV−0.2%margin11.8%Validated estimate
    • over 32.5odds3.30Current model chance32.1%Current EV+6.0%margin12.3%Validated estimate
  • KambiCurrentover 28.51.74Model chance55.8%EV-2.8%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 10:36

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 25.5odds1.30Current model chance73.5%Current EV−4.4%margin11.4%Validated estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.42Current model chance67.9%Current EV−3.5%margin10.7%Validated estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.56Current model chance62.0%Current EV−3.3%margin11.3%Validated estimate
    • over 28.5same line and oddsodds1.74Current model chance55.8%Current EV−2.8%margin11.2%Validated estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.96Current model chance49.6%Current EV−2.7%margin11.3%Validated estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.25Current model chance43.5%Current EV−2.1%margin11.1%Validated estimate
    • over 31.5odds2.60Current model chance37.7%Current EV−2.1%margin10.9%Validated estimate
    • over 32.5odds3.00Current model chance32.1%Current EV−3.6%margin11.5%Validated estimate
  • LiderbetCurrentover 28.51.70Model chance55.8%EV-5.1%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 08:49

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 25.5odds1.28Current model chance73.5%Current EV−5.9%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.39Current model chance67.9%Current EV−5.6%margin11.9%Validated estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.50Current model chance62.0%Current EV−7.0%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • over 28.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance55.8%Current EV−5.1%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.90Current model chance49.6%Current EV−5.7%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.20Current model chance43.5%Current EV−4.2%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • over 31.5odds2.55Current model chance37.7%Current EV−4.0%margin11.7%Validated estimate
  • SuperbetCurrentover 28.51.72Model chance55.8%EV-4.0%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 11:43

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 25.5odds1.28Current model chance73.5%Current EV−5.9%margin8.4%Validated estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.40Current model chance67.9%Current EV−4.9%margin7.8%Validated estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.54Current model chance62.0%Current EV−4.5%margin8.0%Validated estimate
    • over 28.5same line and oddsodds1.72Current model chance55.8%Current EV−4.0%margin8.1%Validated estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.97Current model chance49.6%Current EV−2.2%margin7.9%Validated estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.27Current model chance43.5%Current EV−1.2%margin8.2%Validated estimate
    • over 31.5odds2.65Current model chance37.7%Current EV−0.2%margin8.2%Validated estimate
    • over 32.5odds3.05Current model chance32.1%Current EV−2.0%margin10.3%Validated estimate
    • over 33.5odds3.75Current model chance27.0%Current EV+1.4%margin8.0%Validated estimate

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 09:54: over 28.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Manchester City total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended
under 14.51.92 at Superbet

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 14.51.92Model chance59.3%EV+13.8%
  • BetliveCurrentunder 14.52.60Model chance—EV—
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 04:53

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 14.5same line and oddsodds2.60Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 15odds2.40Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • under 15.5best current valueodds2.10Current model chance70.7%Current EV+48.4%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 16odds1.95Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 16.5odds1.80Current model chance77.4%Current EV+39.2%margin11.1%Validated estimate
    • under 17odds1.65Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 17.5odds1.55Current model chance82.9%Current EV+28.5%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 18odds1.42Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • under 18.5odds1.36Current model chance87.4%Current EV+18.9%margin12.0%Validated estimate
  • CrocobetCurrentunder 14.52.30Model chance—EV—
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 08:57

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 14.5same line and oddsodds2.30Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.4%Model unavailable
    • under 15.5best current valueodds1.95Current model chance70.7%Current EV+37.8%margin11.9%Validated estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.75Current model chance77.4%Current EV+35.4%margin11.2%Validated estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.55Current model chance82.9%Current EV+28.5%margin12.1%Validated estimate
  • LiderbetCurrentunder 14.52.55Model chance—EV—
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 07:57

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 14.5same line and oddsodds2.55Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • under 15.5best current valueodds2.10Current model chance70.7%Current EV+48.4%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.75Current model chance77.4%Current EV+35.4%margin12.7%Validated estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.50Current model chance82.9%Current EV+24.4%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.30Current model chance87.4%Current EV+13.7%margin11.4%Validated estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 13:06: under 14.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 04:30. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

No settled results yet. 3 active suggestions across 1 listed match.

Around this match

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