Lorient vs Paris FC 1-0 — Ligue 1

Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27

Lorient

1–0

HT 0–0

Paris FC

Sat 10 Oct·12:45·Matchday 6·Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir·Lorient won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners9
1Cards5
8Shots16
5Shots on target3
9Fouls13
6Throw-ins13
0Offsides3
8Goal kicks4
3Saves3
13Tackles12
11Interceptions11
10Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

8 Free4 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45LorientvParis FCLigue 15 won / 7 lost · −1.69u · 12 picks

Cards · Lorient total

Open match →FreeWon

under 1.51.95 at Superbet+0.95u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +14.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationunder 1.51.84Model chance58.7%EV+8.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.51.85Model chance58.7%EV+8.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:05
- under 2odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 00:06
- under 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:05
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.51.95Model chance58.7%EV+14.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−9.9%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- under 1.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- under 2.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.51.70Model chance56.1%EV-4.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:32
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:32
- under 2odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:32
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.51.70Model chance56.1%EV-4.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- under 2.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 1.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Paris FC total

Open match →VIPLost

under 1.52.02 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +8.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.52.05Model chance54.4%EV+11.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:32
- under 2odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:32
- under 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:32
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.52.10Model chance53.9%EV+13.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- under 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate92.6%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.02Model chance53.9%EV+8.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds1.94Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.10Model chance53.9%EV+13.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:06
- under 2odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 00:06
- under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:05
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.10Model chance53.9%EV+13.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds5.15Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- under 1.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- under 2.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 13:17: under 1.5 at 2.02 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Lorient total

Open match →VIPWon

under 3.52.45 at Kambi+1.45u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +26.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationunder 3.52.45Model chance51.7%EV+26.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- under 3.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- under 4.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- under 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.45Model chance51.7%EV+26.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 3.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 4.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 5.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- under 6.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
- under 7.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate95.5%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 3.52.45Model chance51.7%EV+26.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds23.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−42.9%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- under 1.5odds7.90Closing chance estimate11.4%Closing EV estimate−9.9%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- under 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- under 3.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- under 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- under 5.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- under 6.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- under 7.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate95.5%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- under 8.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- under 9.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate99.3%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- under 10.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.7%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin4.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.52.35Model chance47.8%EV+12.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.05Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
- under 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
- under 5.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
- under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.52.40Model chance47.8%EV+14.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- under 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- under 5.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- under 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 13:17: under 3.5 at 2.45 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 13:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Paris FC total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.51.91 at Bet365+0.91u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.51.91Model chance52.4%EV+0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:13
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
BetliveAt recommendationover 4.52.05Model chance52.4%EV+7.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
- over 3.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
- over 4.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
- over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
- over 6.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate+24.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
KambiAt recommendationover 4.52.12Model chance52.4%EV+11.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5odds1.93Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 5.5odds2.63Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 6.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 7.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:57
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.90Model chance60.2%EV+14.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
- over 6.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:33
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.90Model chance60.2%EV+14.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 6.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate+31.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.51.95Model chance60.2%EV+17.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.4%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- over 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- over 3.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- over 6.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- over 7.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- over 8.5odds8.50Closing chance estimate9.7%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- over 9.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate5.0%Closing EV estimate−29.4%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- over 10.5odds21.00Closing chance estimate2.4%Closing EV estimate−48.7%margin4.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 4.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 2.51.96 at Pinnacle−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betfair ExchangeAt recommendationover 2.52.04Model chance51.4%EV+4.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 0.75odds1.09Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 1odds1.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 1.25odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 1.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin1.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 1.75odds1.43Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 2odds1.54Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 2.25odds1.81Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 2.5odds2.06Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin1.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 2.75odds2.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 3odds2.94Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 3.25odds3.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 3.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin0.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 3.75odds4.77Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 4odds7.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 4.25odds7.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate14.0%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin0.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 4.75odds11.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 5odds18.56Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 5.25odds19.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 5.5odds20.00Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin1.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 5.75odds28.86Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 6odds53.24Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 6.25odds54.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
- over 6.5odds55.00Closing chance estimate2.1%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.51.96Model chance51.4%EV+0.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.25odds1.69Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40
- over 2.5odds1.93Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40
- over 2.75odds2.18Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.51.91Model chance51.2%EV-2.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin4.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
- over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin5.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
- over 3.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
- over 4.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate14.0%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
- over 5.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−24.0%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
- over 6.5odds26.00Closing chance estimate2.1%Closing EV estimate−44.5%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 2.51.88Model chance51.2%EV-3.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:13
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.51.85Model chance51.2%EV-5.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
- over 1odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.0%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
- over 1.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 2odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:02
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
- over 3odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 3.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:02
- over 4odds4.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:02
- over 4.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate14.0%Closing EV estimate−24.2%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 5odds8.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 5.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−52.0%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.51.95Model chance51.2%EV-0.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 1odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 2odds1.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 3odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 4odds5.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 4.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate14.0%Closing EV estimate−20.0%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 5odds8.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 5.5odds8.50Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−50.3%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.51.95Model chance51.2%EV-0.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 1odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 1.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 2odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4odds5.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate14.0%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 5odds8.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 5.5odds8.60Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−49.7%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 119.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 122.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 125.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 14:37
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.51.85Model chance51.2%EV-5.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40
- over 1.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40
- over 3.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40
- over 4.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate14.0%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.52.07Model chance51.2%EV+5.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 0.75odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 1odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 1.25odds1.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 1.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 1.75odds1.41Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 2odds1.53Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 2.25odds1.82Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin5.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 2.75odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3.25odds3.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3.75odds4.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4odds5.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate14.0%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 5.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 6.5odds37.00Closing chance estimate2.1%Closing EV estimate−21.0%margin2.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 7.5odds90.00Closing chance estimate0.7%Closing EV estimate−37.6%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 8.5odds150.00Closing chance estimate0.2%Closing EV estimate−69.7%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 1.96 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Paris FC total

Open match →FreeLost

over 1.52.00 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.52.00Model chance53.0%EV+5.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate83.1%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 1odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
- over 3.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate10.6%Closing EV estimate−21.9%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 4.5odds9.60Closing chance estimate3.5%Closing EV estimate−66.4%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 15:03
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.52.00Model chance53.0%EV+5.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.1%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 1.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 2.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 3.5odds7.60Closing chance estimate10.6%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
- over 4.5odds9.60Closing chance estimate3.5%Closing EV estimate−66.4%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:36
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.52.00Model chance53.1%EV+6.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate83.1%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
- over 2.5odds4.33Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
- over 3.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate10.6%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
- over 4.5odds29.00Closing chance estimate3.5%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin2.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.52.00Model chance53.1%EV+6.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 2.5odds4.55Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3.5odds11.70Closing chance estimate10.6%Closing EV estimate+23.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5odds27.00Closing chance estimate3.5%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.52.15Model chance53.1%EV+14.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate83.1%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 2.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate10.6%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5odds28.00Closing chance estimate3.5%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin3.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 5.5odds75.00Closing chance estimate1.0%Closing EV estimate−26.0%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 6.5odds125.00Closing chance estimate0.2%Closing EV estimate−69.8%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 13:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:06: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Offsides · Lorient total

Open match →FreeWon

under 1.51.85 at Betlive+0.85u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +12.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.51.85Model chance60.8%EV+12.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 2odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- under 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.51.85Model chance60.8%EV+12.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- under 2.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- under 3.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.51.85Model chance60.8%EV+12.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33
- under 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:06: under 1.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 25.52.32 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.60. Expected value at recommendation: +45.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveClosing estimateover 25.52.25Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 21.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 22odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 22.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 23odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 23.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 24odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 24.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+39.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 25odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 26odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 26.5odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 27odds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
CrocobetClosing estimateover 25.52.20Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 22.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 23.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 24.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+39.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 26.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 27.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate52.2%Closing EV estimate+72.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
KambiAt recommendationover 25.52.35Model chance62.8%EV+47.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
- over 23.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
- over 24.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+44.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.52.25Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 20.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 21.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 22.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 23.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 24.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+39.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 26.5odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.52.32Model chance62.8%EV+45.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 18.5odds1.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 19.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 20.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 21.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+46.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 22.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+61.6%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 23.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+78.6%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 24.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+94.1%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 25.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 26.5odds4.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 27.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate52.2%Closing EV estimate+95.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:10
- over 28.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate+86.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 25.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Lorient total

Open match →FreeLost

over 11.52.00 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 65.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +31.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 11.52.00Model chance65.9%EV+31.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate65.3%Closing EV estimate+30.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:45
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.51.85Model chance65.3%EV+20.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 10odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 11odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate65.3%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 12odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 13odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
KambiAt recommendationover 11.51.80Model chance65.9%EV+18.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.96Closing chance estimate65.3%Closing EV estimate+28.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 12.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+24.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.51.85Model chance65.3%EV+20.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate65.3%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
SuperbetAt recommendationover 11.51.95Model chance65.9%EV+28.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate97.0%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 8.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+35.0%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+49.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 10.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+62.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 11.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate65.3%Closing EV estimate+74.4%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 12.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+84.6%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 13.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+43.5%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 14.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate35.2%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.51.85Model chance65.3%EV+20.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate65.3%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 13.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+32.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 11.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:58. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Paris FC total

Open match →VIPWon

over 12.52.15 at Kambi+1.15u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 66.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +43.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 12.51.91Model chance66.6%EV+27.1%
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 12.52.15Model chance66.6%EV+43.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 12.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+33.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
SuperbetAt recommendationover 12.51.88Model chance66.6%EV+25.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate94.8%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 9.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate91.0%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 10.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 11.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+34.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 12.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+42.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 13.5odds2.42Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+48.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 14.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+50.6%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 15.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate42.1%Closing EV estimate+34.8%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 12.51.98Model chance70.4%EV+39.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.98Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+39.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:30
BetliveClosing estimateover 12.51.80Model chance70.4%EV+26.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 11odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 12odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+26.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 13odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 13.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+34.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 14odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 14.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+44.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.51.80Model chance70.4%EV+26.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+26.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 13.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+34.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 14.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+47.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.51.80Model chance70.4%EV+26.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+26.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 13.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+37.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 12.5 at 2.15 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 8.52.12 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +19.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.52.12Model chance56.4%EV+19.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 5.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 6.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 7.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+23.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 8.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+33.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 9.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+41.9%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 10.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate34.2%Closing EV estimate+47.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 11.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate24.3%Closing EV estimate+45.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.52.00Model chance58.2%EV+16.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 7odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 8odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 9odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 9.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.52.00Model chance58.2%EV+16.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 6.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 9.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
KambiClosing estimateover 8.52.04Model chance58.2%EV+18.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:43
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
- over 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.04Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
- over 9.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
- over 10.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate34.2%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:57
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.52.00Model chance58.2%EV+16.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 6.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 9.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 10.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate34.2%Closing EV estimate+28.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 11.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate24.3%Closing EV estimate+32.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 8.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Paris FC total

Open match →FreeLost

over 4.52.17 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +22.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationover 4.52.07Model chance50.8%EV+5.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.52.17Model chance56.2%EV+22.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 2.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 3.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 5.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 6.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
- over 7.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate11.8%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.51.90Model chance51.8%EV-1.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 4odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
- over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:02
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.95Model chance51.8%EV+0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
- over 5.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.90Model chance51.8%EV-1.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
- over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 4.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−14.1%ROI · 12 units staked

Profit−1.69units

W / L5 / 7picks

Avg odds2.08settled picks

Recorded picks121 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 1 Home teamLorient Away teamParis FC RefereeJérôme Brisard

Matches

Cards · Lorient total

Cards · Paris FC total

Corners · Lorient total

Corners · Paris FC total

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Goals · Paris FC total

Offsides · Lorient total

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Shots · Lorient total

Shots · Paris FC total

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Shots on target · Paris FC total

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