Lecce vs Bologna — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Lecce

1–2

HT 0–1

Bologna

Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 6·Via del Mare, Lecce·Bologna won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 10Corners3
  • 3Cards2
  • 19Shots10
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 17Fouls8
  • 18Throw-ins27
  • 1Offsides4
  • 4Goal kicks12
  • 3Saves4
  • 12Tackles22
  • 12Interceptions12
  • 9Dribbles5
9 Free6 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match
LeccevBolognaSerie A8 won / 7 lost · +1.34u · 15 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost
under 3.52.10 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +21.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.10Model chance57.9%EV+21.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate3.7%Closing EV estimate−45.0%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate98.0%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.52.20Model chance57.9%EV+27.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+27.4%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.52.10Model chance57.9%EV+21.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailable
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • under 5.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.52.10Model chance57.9%EV+21.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.52.00Model chance57.9%EV+15.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.52.10Model chance57.9%EV+21.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.52.20Model chance57.9%EV+27.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate+39.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+27.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 3.5 at 2.10 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Lecce total

Open match →FreeLost
under 1.52.10 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +5.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.52.15Model chance50.0%EV+7.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.10Model chance50.0%EV+5.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 1.52.25Model chance50.0%EV+12.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.20Model chance50.0%EV+10.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:07

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.52Model chance50.0%EV+26.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate18.4%Closing EV estimate−80.7%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.52Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:18: under 1.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 01:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Bologna total

Open match →FreeLost
under 1.52.04 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +7.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.52.05Model chance52.7%EV+8.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • under 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.51.95Model chance52.7%EV+2.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate91.9%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.04Model chance52.7%EV+7.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.00Model chance52.7%EV+5.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:07

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.02Model chance52.7%EV+6.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate19.9%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 08:27: under 1.5 at 2.04 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 02:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Lecce total

Open match →VIPLost
under 3.51.91 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.51.91Model chance52.9%EV+0.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 3.52.12Model chance52.9%EV+12.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 3.52.20Model chance53.3%EV+17.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerAt recommendationunder 3.52.10Model chance53.0%EV+11.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 3.52.17Model chance53.9%EV+17.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds18.00Closing chance estimate3.3%Closing EV estimate−41.0%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.17Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate96.6%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate98.6%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.52.25Model chance53.1%EV+19.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.52.00Model chance53.1%EV+6.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.52.30Model chance53.1%EV+22.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 13:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPWon
under 26.51.97 at Superbet+0.97u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 73.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.36. Expected value at recommendation: +45.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 26.51.60Model chance77.5%EV+23.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate+41.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • under 23.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+36.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 24.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate64.4%Closing EV estimate+32.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
    • under 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 27.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailable
    • under 28.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 26.51.60Model chance77.5%EV+23.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate+44.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+39.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate64.4%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 26.51.55Model chance77.5%EV+20.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate+34.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate64.4%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 26.51.97Model chance73.7%EV+45.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 25.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+53.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+44.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate+35.6%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 07:42: under 26.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 19:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Bologna total

Open match →FreeWon
under 11.52.02 at Liderbet+1.02u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +20.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.52.02Model chance59.7%EV+20.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate47.1%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.51.95Model chance58.8%EV+14.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate47.1%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • under 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 13.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.51.95Model chance58.8%EV+14.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate47.1%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 11.5 at 2.02 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPWon
over 15.52.05 at Superbet+1.05u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +32.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.52.05Model chance64.7%EV+32.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate+31.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.52.20Model chance63.8%EV+40.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate+34.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+49.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.52.15Model chance63.8%EV+37.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate+31.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+43.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 04:06: over 15.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 04:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Bologna total

Open match →VIPLost
under 8.51.90 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 66.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +25.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.51.90Model chance65.8%EV+25.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+27.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.51.90Model chance66.0%EV+25.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 10:42: under 8.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 02:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Bologna total

Open match →FreeWon
over 1.52.00 at Betlive+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.52.00Model chance52.9%EV+5.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 1.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailable
    • over 2.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate9.5%Closing EV estimate−23.9%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds9.80Closing chance estimate3.0%Closing EV estimate−70.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.52.00Model chance52.9%EV+5.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate9.5%Closing EV estimate−23.9%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds9.80Closing chance estimate3.0%Closing EV estimate−70.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 1.52.20Model chance51.1%EV+12.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate9.5%Closing EV estimate+23.7%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds29.00Closing chance estimate3.0%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin2.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.52.00Model chance51.1%EV+2.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailable
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2odds3.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailable
    • over 2.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds12.50Closing chance estimate9.5%Closing EV estimate+19.0%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds29.00Closing chance estimate3.0%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin—Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.52.17Model chance51.1%EV+10.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.17Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate9.5%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds31.00Closing chance estimate3.0%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds75.00Closing chance estimate0.8%Closing EV estimate−37.8%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds125.00Closing chance estimate0.2%Closing EV estimate−75.5%margin—Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:06: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 23:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreeLost
over 5.52.65 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +39.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 5.52.65Model chance52.7%EV+39.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+26.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.65Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+37.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.52.75Model chance51.9%EV+42.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+42.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate35.9%Closing EV estimate+61.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.52.60Model chance51.9%EV+34.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.60Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate35.9%Closing EV estimate+47.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate22.7%Closing EV estimate+50.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:32: over 5.5 at 2.65 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon
over 25.52.27 at Superbet+1.27u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +40.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 25.52.30Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 20.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate90.2%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+27.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+39.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
    • over 26.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
  • KambiClosing estimateover 25.52.63Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 20.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate90.2%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+38.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+47.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds2.23Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+59.8%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.63Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailable
    • over 26.5odds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.52.35Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 21.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+20.3%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+27.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+43.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.52.27Model chance61.9%EV+40.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 19.5odds1.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailable
    • over 20.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate90.2%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+30.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+39.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+50.5%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailable
    • over 26.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%Model unavailable
    • over 27.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+86.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+75.0%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 25.52.30Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 20.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate90.2%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • over 21.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 22.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • over 23.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+35.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailable
    • over 24.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+43.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailable
    • over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
    • over 26odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • over 26.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 25.5 at 2.27 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 08:27. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Lecce total

Open match →VIPWon
over 10.51.90 at Superbet+0.90u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 10.52.35Model chance57.4%EV+34.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+28.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 10.52.30Model chance53.5%EV+23.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+21.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+28.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 10.51.80Model chance57.4%EV+3.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.51.90Model chance53.5%EV+1.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate26.2%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−31.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 10.52.00Model chance57.2%EV+14.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.51.85Model chance57.2%EV+5.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.51.80Model chance57.2%EV+3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 10.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 23:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Bologna total

Open match →FreeLost
over 13.51.95 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 76.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.31. Expected value at recommendation: +49.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 13.51.95Model chance76.8%EV+49.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+37.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+48.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 15.5odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailable
  • KambiAt recommendationover 13.51.80Model chance76.8%EV+38.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+36.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+45.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 13.51.80Model chance76.4%EV+37.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+37.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 13.51.90Model chance76.4%EV+45.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+45.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 13.51.85Model chance76.4%EV+41.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 12.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+41.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • over 14.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • over 15odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailable
    • over 15.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 13.51.95Model chance76.4%EV+48.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+33.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+48.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 13.52.12Model chance76.4%EV+61.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate96.0%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate+26.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+36.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+48.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+61.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.4%Model unavailable
    • over 15.5odds3.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.9%Model unavailable
    • over 16.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+72.5%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 13.5 at 1.95 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon
over 8.52.07 at Kambi+1.07u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 8.52.07Model chance51.2%EV+5.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate95.3%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.98Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+39.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+56.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+68.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 8.52.22Model chance51.3%EV+13.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate95.3%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+25.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+34.5%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+41.7%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+44.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate22.7%Closing EV estimate+38.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.52.20Model chance58.0%EV+27.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailable
    • over 7.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+27.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailable
    • over 9.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+32.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.52.30Model chance58.0%EV+33.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+27.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+48.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.52.25Model chance58.0%EV+30.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate95.3%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+30.5%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+44.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 8.5 at 2.07 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Lecce total

Open match →FreeWon
over 3.52.06 at Kambi+1.06u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 3.52.25Model chance54.0%EV+21.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 3.52.06Model chance52.0%EV+7.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate+15.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.43Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate34.0%Closing EV estimate+34.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.52.35Model chance54.0%EV+26.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.52.17Model chance50.9%EV+10.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate34.0%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate19.1%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds8.10Closing chance estimate9.5%Closing EV estimate−22.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.52.30Model chance53.4%EV+22.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.52.45Model chance53.4%EV+30.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+30.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 2.06 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+8.9%ROI · 15 units staked
Profit+1.34units
W / L8 / 7picks
Avg odds2.07settled picks
Recorded picks151 matches

Around this match

Previous meetings