Italy vs Türkiye — UEFA Nations League

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 23.52.45Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 05:00

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 21.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate+43.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 05:30
  • under 22odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 05:30
  • under 22.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+65.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 23odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 24odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 24.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+43.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 25odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 25.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate+36.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 26odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+25.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 27odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 27.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 28odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 28.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 29odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
• CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 23.52.45Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 05:30

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 21.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate+63.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
  • under 22.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+65.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 24.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+36.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate+32.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+25.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 28.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
• Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 23.53.05Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 11:31

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 22.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+71.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:01
  • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
  • under 24.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+71.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
  • under 25.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate+55.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
  • under 26.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+41.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
  • under 27.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate+28.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
  • under 28.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
  • under 29.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate89.3%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
• SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 23.51.97Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 12:32

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 22.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+33.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:32
  • under 23.5odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 12:32
  • under 24.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:32

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 11.52.60Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 05:00

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.60Closing chance estimate59.3%Closing EV estimate+54.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
  • under 12odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
  • under 12.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 13odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 13.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+53.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 14odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 14.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate+37.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 15odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 15.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate+27.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
• Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 11.52.95Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 05:30

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.95Closing chance estimate59.3%Closing EV estimate+74.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 13.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+46.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 14.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 15.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 11.52.00Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 11:31

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:01
  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
  • under 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
  • under 13.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
• BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.51.80Model chance57.3%EV+3.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 05:00

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 10odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 10.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 11odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 12odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 12.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 13odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 05:00
  • under 13.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 05:30
• CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.51.80Model chance57.3%EV+3.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 05:30

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 9.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 12.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
  • under 13.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 05:30
• SuperbetClosing estimateunder 11.51.82Model chance57.3%EV+4.3%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 12:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:02

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.52.17Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 11:32

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.17Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate+33.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:32
  • under 18.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:32
  • under 19.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:32
• Bet365Closing estimateunder 17.51.80Model chance61.7%EV+11.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:36

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:36
• BetliveClosing estimateunder 17.51.60Model chance61.7%EV-1.3%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 07:00

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 14.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate36.1%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:00
  • under 15odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 07:00
  • under 15.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:00
  • under 16odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 07:00
  • under 16.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:00
  • under 17odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 07:00
  • under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:00
  • under 18odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 07:00
  • under 18.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:00
  • under 19odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 07:00
  • under 19.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
• CrocobetClosing estimateunder 17.51.70Model chance61.7%EV+4.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 15.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
  • under 16.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
  • under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
  • under 18.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
  • under 19.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
• KambiClosing estimateunder 17.51.52Model chance61.7%EV-6.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 12:33

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 16.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:33
  • under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.52Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:33
  • under 18.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:33
  • under 19.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:33
• LiderbetClosing estimateunder 17.51.60Model chance61.7%EV-1.3%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 06:31

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 15.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:31
  • under 16.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:31
  • under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:31
  • under 18.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:41