Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren 5-0 — Scottish Premiership

Scottish PremiershipPremiership 26/27

Heart of Midlothian

5–0

HT 2–0

St. Mirren

Sat 10 Oct·08:00·Matchday 8·Heart of Midlothian won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners2
2Cards3
18Shots8
6Shots on target1
16Fouls18
18Throw-ins17
3Offsides1
8Goal kicks9
1Saves1
21Tackles12
10Interceptions8
9Dribbles2

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

4 Free3 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

08:00Heart of MidlothianvSt. MirrenScottish Premiership1 won / 6 lost · −4.93u · 7 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 11.52.43 at BetMGM UK−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +31.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 11.52.43Model chance54.0%EV+31.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+35.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.52.15Model chance55.4%EV+19.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 8.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.8%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 10.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 12.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 13.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate+23.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 14.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate26.1%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 15.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.52.10Model chance55.4%EV+16.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.8%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 10.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 13.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate+30.7%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
KambiClosing estimateover 11.52.45Model chance55.4%EV+35.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:27
- over 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:27
- over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:27
- over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.8%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:27
- over 10.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate+28.7%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+35.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 12.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+41.2%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 13.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate+42.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 14.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate26.1%Closing EV estimate+40.7%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.52.15Model chance55.4%EV+19.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 8.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.8%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 10.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 13.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 14.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate26.1%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 15.5odds6.75Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate+26.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.52.27Model chance55.4%EV+25.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate97.6%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 9.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate75.8%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 10.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.27Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 12.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 13.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 14.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate26.1%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 15.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 11.5 at 2.43 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Heart of Midlothian total

Open match →FreeLost

over 7.52.32 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +30.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 7.52.32Model chance56.2%EV+30.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.5%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:27
- over 6.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 7.5odds2.33Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 8.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:27
SuperbetAt recommendationover 7.52.30Model chance52.9%EV+21.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 4.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.5%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 6.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 8.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 9.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
BetliveClosing estimateover 7.52.10Model chance52.5%EV+10.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate78.5%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 6.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 8.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 9.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 7.52.10Model chance52.5%EV+10.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.5%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 6.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
LiderbetClosing estimateover 7.52.10Model chance52.5%EV+10.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate78.5%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 6.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 8.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 9.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 7.5 at 2.32 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · St. Mirren total

Open match →FreeLost

over 3.51.95 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 3.51.95Model chance57.6%EV+12.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 3.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+22.8%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.51.80Model chance62.4%EV+12.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.51.75Model chance62.4%EV+9.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 5.5odds4.05Closing chance estimate27.3%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.70Model chance62.4%EV+6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.70Model chance62.4%EV+6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 4.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
- over 5.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate27.3%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:06
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.51.82Model chance62.4%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 1.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 4.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 5.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate27.3%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 6.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.95 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 27.52.20 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 71.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.41. Expected value at recommendation: +56.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveClosing estimateover 27.52.10Model chance72.9%EV+53.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate89.7%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 24odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 25odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 26odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 26.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+44.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 27odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+53.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 28odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 28.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 29odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 27.52.20Model chance71.1%EV+56.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 23.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate89.7%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 24.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 25.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+37.6%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 26.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+49.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+60.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 28.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 29.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate+85.0%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 30.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+97.9%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:11: over 27.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 08:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Heart of Midlothian total

Open match →VIPWon

over 17.52.07 at Superbet+1.07u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 71.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.41. Expected value at recommendation: +47.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveClosing estimateover 17.52.10Model chance67.9%EV+42.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 15odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 15.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 16odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 16.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+31.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 17odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+42.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 18odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 18.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+50.4%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 17.52.07Model chance71.1%EV+47.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate91.0%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 16:08
- over 14.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+22.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 15.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 16.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+35.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 08:04
- over 17.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+42.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 18.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+48.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 19.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate52.2%Closing EV estimate+54.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:11: over 17.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 08:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · St. Mirren total

Open match →FreeLost

over 10.52.45 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +27.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.52.45Model chance52.1%EV+27.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 7.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate88.1%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+33.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 9.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate+43.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 10.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate61.1%Closing EV estimate+50.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 11.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+58.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 12.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate+62.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.52.35Model chance61.1%EV+43.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+21.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 9odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 10odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate61.1%Closing EV estimate+43.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:11: over 10.5 at 2.45 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Heart of Midlothian total

Open match →VIPLost

over 6.52.20 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +17.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 6.52.10Model chance50.7%EV+6.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 6odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 7odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
KambiAt recommendationover 6.52.17Model chance52.0%EV+12.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 5.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 6.5odds2.18Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 7.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:27
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.52.20Model chance53.6%EV+17.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.2%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:46
- over 3.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 4.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 5.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 6.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 7.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 8.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate25.0%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:11: over 6.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−70.4%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit−4.93units

W / L1 / 6picks

Avg odds2.23settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionScottish Premiership Home teamHeart of Midlothian Away teamSt. Mirren

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Heart of Midlothian total

Corners · St. Mirren total

Shots · match total

Shots · Heart of Midlothian total

Shots · St. Mirren total

Shots on target · Heart of Midlothian total

This match

Around this match

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