Fluminense vs Coritiba — Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026
Thu 8 Oct··Matchday 29·Estádio do Maracanã·Fluminense won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 3Corners2
- 0Cards1
- 22Shots8
- 10Shots on target0
- 9Fouls8
- 13Throw-ins8
- 2Offsides1
- 4Goal kicks12
- 0Saves6
- 7Tackles6
- 7Interceptions4
- 6Dribbles7
Board
Matches
FluminensevCoritibaBrasileirão Série A12 won / 6 lost · +5.76u · 18 picks
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 58.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +24.3%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 4.52.12Model chance58.6%EV+24.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin10.0%
BetliveAt recommendationunder 4.52.10Model chance54.4%EV+14.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:00Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin14.0%
- under 3.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−15.0%margin14.0%
- under 4odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%
- under 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin13.2%
- under 5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%
- under 5.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin14.0%
- under 6odds1.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%
- under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin14.3%
- under 7odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.2%
- under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate92.3%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin14.2%
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 4.52.10Model chance54.4%EV+14.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin14.0%
- under 3.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−15.0%margin14.0%
- under 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin13.2%
- under 5.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin14.0%
- under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin14.3%
- under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate92.3%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin14.2%
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.52.12Model chance58.6%EV+24.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin9.9%
- under 4.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin9.7%
- under 5.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin10.2%
- under 6.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin10.5%
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 4.52.10Model chance54.4%EV+14.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin14.0%
- under 3.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−15.0%margin14.0%
- under 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin13.2%
- under 5.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin14.0%
- under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin14.3%
- under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate92.3%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin14.2%
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 4.52.20Model chance58.6%EV+29.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:43Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate1.2%Closing EV estimate−98.5%margin8.1%
- under 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−25.3%margin9.7%
- under 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin7.9%
- under 4.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin7.3%
- under 5.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin9.0%
- under 6.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin9.6%
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.51.73Model chance55.4%EV-4.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin7.9%
Recommendation record
Recorded 6 Oct, 18:32: under 4.5 at 2.12 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 05:02. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 58.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +17.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.52.35Model chance58.4%EV+37.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 11:00Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- under 2.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin13.8%
- under 3odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%
- under 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin14.1%
- under 4odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%
- under 4.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin13.9%
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 2.52.35Model chance58.0%EV+36.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:00Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin14.4%
- under 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin14.4%
- under 4.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin14.2%
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.52.02Model chance58.0%EV+17.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate30.7%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin9.1%
- under 2.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin9.0%
- under 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin9.2%
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 2.52.15Model chance58.0%EV+24.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:43Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate9.0%Closing EV estimate−90.3%margin10.0%
- under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate30.7%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin9.2%
- under 2.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin7.3%
- under 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin8.9%
Recommendation record
Recorded 6 Oct, 18:32: under 2.5 at 2.02 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:49. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 55.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationunder 10.52.00Model chance55.5%EV+10.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 10.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin9.1%
Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.52.00Model chance55.2%EV+10.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin9.3%
- under 10.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin9.2%
- under 11.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin9.1%
- under 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin9.5%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.51.75Model chance52.6%EV-7.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 11:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−20.9%margin11.8%
- under 7.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin12.3%
- under 8.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate29.6%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin13.8%
- under 9odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%
- under 9.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin14.5%
- under 10odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin14.3%
- under 11odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- under 11.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin14.1%
- under 12odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%
- under 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin14.0%
- under 13.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin12.3%
- under 14.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin11.9%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.51.75Model chance52.6%EV-7.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:00Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 7.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate−27.7%margin14.0%
- under 8.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate29.6%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin13.8%
- under 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin13.5%
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin14.3%
- under 11.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin14.5%
- under 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin14.0%
- under 13.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin14.2%
KambiClosing estimateunder 10.51.67Model chance52.6%EV-12.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−38.4%margin9.8%
- under 7.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate−27.7%margin9.0%
- under 8.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate29.6%Closing EV estimate−20.2%margin8.5%
- under 9.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate−16.1%margin8.7%
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.67Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin8.7%
- under 11.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin8.9%
- under 12.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin9.2%
- under 13.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin9.7%
- under 14.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin9.8%
- under 15.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate92.1%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin10.4%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.51.75Model chance52.6%EV-7.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 8.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate29.6%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin13.8%
- under 9.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin15.5%
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin14.3%
- under 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin13.2%
- under 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin14.0%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.51.85Model chance52.6%EV-2.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds50.00Closing chance estimate0.3%Closing EV estimate−86.2%margin—
- under 3.5odds27.00Closing chance estimate1.0%Closing EV estimate−73.3%margin3.5%
- under 4.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−59.3%margin5.7%
- under 5.5odds8.60Closing chance estimate6.1%Closing EV estimate−47.7%margin7.8%
- under 6.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−32.6%margin8.2%
- under 7.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate−21.8%margin8.3%
- under 8.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate29.6%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin8.0%
- under 9.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin8.0%
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin8.1%
- under 11.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin8.1%
- under 12.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin7.9%
- under 13.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin8.4%
- under 14.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin8.2%
- under 15.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate92.1%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin8.1%
- under 16.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin7.7%
- under 17.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate97.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin6.2%
- under 18.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.4%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin5.7%
Recommendation record
Recorded 6 Oct, 22:06: under 10.5 at 2.00 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveAt recommendationunder 6.51.95Model chance51.6%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 11:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin12.3%
- under 5odds3.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
- under 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin11.6%
- under 6odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin11.9%
- under 7odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- under 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin13.2%
- under 8odds1.31Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- under 8.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin12.1%
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.51.96Model chance51.6%EV+1.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 11:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin12.6%
- under 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.6%
- under 6.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin13.8%
- under 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin12.1%
- under 8.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin12.9%
Bet365Closing estimateunder 6.51.91Model chance52.3%EV-0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin7.9%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.51.85Model chance52.3%EV-3.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin13.6%
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin14.7%
- under 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin14.3%
- under 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin14.0%
KambiClosing estimateunder 6.51.76Model chance52.3%EV-7.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate−25.4%margin9.5%
- under 5.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin9.6%
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin10.0%
- under 7.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin10.2%
- under 8.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin10.0%
- under 9.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin10.0%
- under 10.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin10.8%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.51.88Model chance52.3%EV-1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds22.00Closing chance estimate1.3%Closing EV estimate−71.5%margin4.3%
- under 2.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate4.7%Closing EV estimate−52.9%margin7.1%
- under 3.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate11.8%Closing EV estimate−32.8%margin7.6%
- under 4.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin7.8%
- under 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin7.6%
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin8.1%
- under 7.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin7.9%
- under 8.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin7.5%
- under 9.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin8.3%
- under 10.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin7.9%
- under 11.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin7.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: under 6.5 at 1.96 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:11. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +4.7%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.51.91Model chance54.9%EV+4.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 3.51.92Model chance54.5%EV+4.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin9.9%
BetliveAt recommendationover 3.51.85Model chance54.9%EV+1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 11:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.9%
- over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.2%
- over 3odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin11.2%
- over 4odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%
- over 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin11.5%
- over 5odds3.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%
- over 5.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin11.5%
KambiAt recommendationover 3.52.00Model chance54.5%EV+9.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin10.2%
- over 2.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin10.2%
- over 3.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin9.6%
- over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin10.3%
- over 5.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin10.2%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.70Model chance55.1%EV-6.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 08:00Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin14.0%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin14.4%
- over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin14.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.80Model chance55.1%EV-0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 11:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.5%
- over 2.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin12.7%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin14.4%
- over 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin13.2%
- over 5.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin13.1%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.51.87Model chance55.1%EV+3.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin9.0%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin9.0%
- over 4.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin9.2%
- over 5.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin8.9%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.51.78Model chance55.1%EV-2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin6.2%
- over 1.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin8.0%
- over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.8%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.78Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin8.3%
- over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin8.0%
- over 5.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate−23.6%margin8.0%
- over 6.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate10.9%Closing EV estimate−40.5%margin8.4%
- over 7.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate5.2%Closing EV estimate−57.7%margin7.4%
- over 8.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate−71.0%margin5.7%
- over 9.5odds20.00Closing chance estimate0.9%Closing EV estimate−82.3%margin4.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 10:36: over 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 54.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationunder 3.51.91Model chance54.6%EV+4.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 3.51.83Model chance55.6%EV+1.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−22.3%margin9.9%
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.51.85Model chance54.1%EV+0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 11:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate10.1%Closing EV estimate−42.4%margin11.9%
- under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−31.6%margin12.2%
- under 3odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- under 3.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−21.4%margin11.2%
- under 4odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%
- under 4.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate−15.5%margin11.5%
- under 5odds1.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%
- under 5.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate−13.0%margin11.5%
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 3.51.80Model chance56.0%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 08:00Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−31.6%margin14.0%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin14.4%
- under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin14.1%
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 3.52.00Model chance54.1%EV+8.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 11:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate10.1%Closing EV estimate−38.3%margin12.5%
- under 2.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−30.3%margin12.7%
- under 3.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−23.6%margin14.4%
- under 4.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin13.2%
- under 5.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin13.1%
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.51.65Model chance44.9%EV-25.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate10.1%Closing EV estimate−56.5%margin10.2%
- under 2.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−39.2%margin10.2%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−25.9%margin9.6%
- under 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate−16.8%margin10.3%
- under 5.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin10.2%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.51.80Model chance44.9%EV-19.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin9.0%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin9.0%
- under 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate−16.8%margin9.2%
- under 5.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin8.9%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.51.92Model chance44.9%EV-13.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate2.1%Closing EV estimate−70.3%margin6.2%
- under 1.5odds5.35Closing chance estimate10.1%Closing EV estimate−45.9%margin8.0%
- under 2.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−26.0%margin7.8%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−13.7%margin8.3%
- under 4.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin8.0%
- under 5.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin8.0%
- under 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate89.1%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin8.4%
- under 7.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate94.8%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin7.4%
- under 8.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin5.7%
- under 9.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.1%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin4.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 01:03: under 3.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:36. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 57.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 24.51.80Model chance57.1%EV+2.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate58.7%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin14.4%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.51.87Model chance57.1%EV+6.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 23.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin9.0%
- under 24.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate58.7%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin8.1%
- under 25.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin8.5%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.51.70Model chance58.7%EV-0.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 23.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin14.7%
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate58.7%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin14.4%
- under 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin14.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:51: under 24.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 06:06. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 60.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +16.3%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 12.51.80Model chance64.2%EV+15.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin14.3%
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate64.7%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin14.4%
- under 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin14.5%
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 12.51.80Model chance64.2%EV+15.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin14.3%
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate64.7%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin14.4%
- under 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin13.3%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.51.92Model chance60.6%EV+16.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 11.5odds2.42Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+30.6%margin8.0%
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate64.7%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin7.6%
- under 13.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin11.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 05:03: under 12.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +5.8%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.51.90Model chance55.7%EV+5.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 10.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin8.0%
- over 11.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin8.7%
- over 12.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin10.8%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.51.75Model chance55.6%EV-2.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin14.3%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin14.3%
- over 12.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin14.3%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.51.70Model chance55.6%EV-5.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin13.4%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin14.4%
- over 12.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin13.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 16:47: over 11.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 18:11. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.52.00Model chance52.1%EV+4.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin14.0%
- over 2.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin13.8%
- over 3.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin14.2%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.51.85Model chance52.5%EV-2.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin14.0%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin14.7%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:48: over 2.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.51.95Model chance51.5%EV+0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin13.6%
- over 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin14.3%
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin13.8%
- over 7.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin14.0%
KambiClosing estimateover 6.51.62Model chance52.3%EV-15.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin—
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.62Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin—
- over 7.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−22.0%margin—
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 09:42: over 6.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:58. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: -0.6%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 28.51.91Model chance52.1%EV-0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 28.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin7.9%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 28.51.95Model chance58.3%EV+13.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 26.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin14.5%
- over 27.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin14.3%
- over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin13.8%
KambiAt recommendationover 28.51.93Model chance52.1%EV+0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 24.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin10.8%
- over 25.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin11.1%
- over 26.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin11.2%
- over 27.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin11.0%
- over 28.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin11.1%
- over 29.5odds1.79Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin11.1%
- over 30.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin11.2%
- over 31.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate−15.6%margin11.1%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 28.52.00Model chance52.1%EV+4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 23.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin10.7%
- over 24.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin10.8%
- over 25.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin10.8%
- over 26.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.9%
- over 27.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin8.6%
- over 28.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin8.1%
- over 29.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin8.6%
- over 30.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin9.8%
- over 31.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin10.4%
- over 32.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin10.8%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.51.80Model chance55.7%EV+0.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 26.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin14.3%
- over 27.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin14.7%
- over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin14.4%
- over 29.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin14.3%
- over 30.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin14.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:51: over 28.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:03. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 55.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +7.8%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 18.51.95Model chance55.3%EV+7.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 14.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin10.6%
- over 15.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin8.0%
- over 16.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin7.9%
- over 17.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin7.6%
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate48.7%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin7.8%
- over 19.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate40.2%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin8.1%
- over 20.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate−14.2%margin8.2%
- over 21.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−20.2%margin8.1%
Bet365Closing estimateover 18.51.73Model chance48.7%EV-15.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate48.7%Closing EV estimate−15.9%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 18.51.65Model chance48.7%EV-19.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate48.7%Closing EV estimate−19.7%margin11.6%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.51.95Model chance48.7%EV-5.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 16.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin14.3%
- over 17.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin14.4%
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate48.7%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin13.8%
KambiClosing estimateover 18.51.66Model chance48.7%EV-19.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 16.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin11.4%
- over 17.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin11.5%
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.66Closing chance estimate48.7%Closing EV estimate−19.2%margin11.5%
- over 19.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate40.2%Closing EV estimate−24.8%margin11.3%
- over 20.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate−32.0%margin11.7%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.51.75Model chance48.7%EV-14.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 16.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin14.0%
- over 17.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin13.3%
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate48.7%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin14.3%
- over 19.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate40.2%Closing EV estimate−21.5%margin13.8%
- over 20.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate−27.2%margin13.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 14:51: over 18.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 15:48. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +4.0%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 18.52.00Model chance52.0%EV+4.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 18.51.96Model chance51.3%EV+0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.96Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin11.6%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 18.51.60Model chance51.3%EV-17.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 16.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate−28.4%margin14.3%
- under 17.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−23.3%margin14.4%
- under 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin13.8%
KambiClosing estimateunder 18.51.95Model chance51.3%EV+0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 16.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin11.4%
- under 17.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin11.5%
- under 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.5%
- under 19.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin11.3%
- under 20.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin11.7%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 18.51.75Model chance51.3%EV-10.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 16.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin14.0%
- under 17.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin13.3%
- under 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin14.3%
- under 19.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin13.8%
- under 20.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin13.4%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 18.51.77Model chance51.3%EV-9.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 14.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate19.2%Closing EV estimate−38.7%margin10.6%
- under 15.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate26.2%Closing EV estimate−24.1%margin8.0%
- under 16.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin7.9%
- under 17.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin7.6%
- under 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.77Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin7.8%
- under 19.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin8.1%
- under 20.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin8.2%
- under 21.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin8.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 6 Oct, 18:42: under 18.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:22. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 56.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.51.65Model chance65.5%EV+8.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin14.0%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin14.7%
- over 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin14.5%
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.51.83Model chance56.7%EV+3.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin11.7%
- over 9.5odds1.74Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin11.5%
- over 10.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin11.4%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.51.85Model chance65.5%EV+21.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin13.6%
- over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin14.0%
- over 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin14.7%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin14.7%
- over 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin14.0%
Bet365Closing estimateover 9.51.83Model chance65.5%EV+20.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin9.1%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.51.68Model chance65.5%EV+10.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin7.7%
- over 7.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin7.7%
- over 8.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin7.9%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin7.8%
- over 10.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin8.0%
- over 11.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin8.1%
- over 12.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin8.0%
- over 13.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin7.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 6 Oct, 18:32: over 9.5 at 1.83 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 08:42. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationover 9.52.00Model chance50.1%EV+0.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.9%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.52.00Model chance59.5%EV+19.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin14.0%
- over 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin14.7%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin14.5%
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.52.06Model chance50.1%EV+3.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin12.2%
- over 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin10.8%
- over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin10.9%
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin11.1%
- over 10.5odds2.06Closing chance estimate43.3%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin11.0%
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate31.8%Closing EV estimate−15.8%margin11.3%
LiderbetAt recommendationover 9.51.85Model chance55.6%EV+2.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin14.0%
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin14.3%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin14.7%
- over 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate43.3%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin14.0%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.52.17Model chance50.1%EV+8.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin10.9%
- over 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin11.5%
- over 7.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin10.6%
- over 8.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin9.0%
- over 9.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin8.5%
- over 10.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate43.3%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin9.9%
- over 11.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate31.8%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin11.0%
- over 12.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate22.1%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.4%
- over 13.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin11.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 6 Oct, 18:32: over 9.5 at 2.06 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 06:51. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 6.52.10Model chance50.1%EV+5.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin7.6%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 6.52.32Model chance50.1%EV+16.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate95.6%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.2%
- over 3.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.2%
- over 4.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin10.3%
- over 5.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin8.1%
- over 6.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.0%
- over 7.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin10.5%
- over 8.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin11.5%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.52.20Model chance46.9%EV+3.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin14.1%
- over 5.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin14.4%
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin14.4%
KambiClosing estimateover 6.51.73Model chance46.9%EV-18.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin11.1%
- over 5.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin11.7%
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate−18.9%margin11.3%
- over 7.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate−26.3%margin11.0%
- over 8.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate−36.3%margin11.6%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.52.05Model chance46.9%EV-3.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin14.0%
- over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin13.8%
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin13.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 09:36: over 6.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 15:51. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +15.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 3.52.23Model chance51.6%EV+15.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.23Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin11.5%
KambiAt recommendationover 3.52.23Model chance51.6%EV+15.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 17:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.1%
- over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin11.1%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.23Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin11.5%
- over 4.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate30.4%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin11.5%
LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.52.25Model chance51.6%EV+16.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin13.8%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin13.4%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.52.17Model chance51.6%EV+12.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 18:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin11.5%
- over 2.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin9.7%
- over 3.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin8.9%
- over 4.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate30.4%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin10.6%
- over 5.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin11.4%
- over 6.5odds8.10Closing chance estimate7.8%Closing EV estimate−36.9%margin11.4%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.52.10Model chance49.6%EV+4.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin13.6%
- over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin14.3%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin14.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 12:22: over 3.5 at 2.23 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 14:03. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions