Croatia vs Spain 1-2 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Croatia

1–2

HT 1–0

Spain

Tue 6 Oct·12:45·Matchday 4·Stadion Poljud·Spain won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners6
3Cards2
10Shots10
5Shots on target3
12Fouls10
11Throw-ins13
0Offsides2
8Goal kicks3
1Saves4
7Tackles10
11Interceptions5
2Dribbles5

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

1 Free2 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45

Croatiav

SpainUEFA Nations League0 won / 3 lost · −3.00u · 3 picks

Goal kicks · Croatia total

Open match →FreeLost

over 9.52.15 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.52.00Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 07:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−30.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- over 8odds1.44Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate37.8%Closing EV estimate−39.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- over 9odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate26.2%Closing EV estimate−47.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- over 10odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- over 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate17.2%Closing EV estimate−54.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.52.10Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−31.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate37.8%Closing EV estimate−37.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate26.2%Closing EV estimate−44.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.52.15Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 11:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−30.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 11:00
- over 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate37.8%Closing EV estimate−37.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 11:00
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate26.2%Closing EV estimate−43.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 11:00
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.51.97Model chance26.2%EV-48.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 06:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate26.2%Closing EV estimate−48.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 06:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: over 9.5 at 2.15 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 27.52.15 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 27.52.15Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 24.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:00
- over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 15:32
- over 26.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate−37.8%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
- over 27.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate−40.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
- over 28.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate−43.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
- over 29.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−46.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
- over 30.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate22.2%Closing EV estimate−48.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
Bet365Closing estimateover 27.51.80Model chance38.0%EV-31.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 12:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate−31.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:40
BetliveClosing estimateover 27.51.85Model chance38.0%EV-29.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate−19.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- over 24odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- over 24.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−24.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 25odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−26.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 26odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate−29.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 27odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate−29.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 28odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 28.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate−33.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 29odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 29.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−35.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 30odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 30.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate22.2%Closing EV estimate−36.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 27.51.80Model chance38.0%EV-31.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 09:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 24.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−27.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 25.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−29.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate−29.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate−31.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 28.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate−35.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 29.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−34.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 30.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate22.2%Closing EV estimate−36.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
KambiClosing estimateover 27.51.80Model chance38.0%EV-31.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 12:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 24.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−24.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 08:02
- over 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−26.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate−29.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate−31.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 28.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate−34.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 29.5odds2.33Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−37.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 30.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate22.2%Closing EV estimate−40.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 31.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate18.0%Closing EV estimate−43.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
LiderbetClosing estimateover 27.51.80Model chance38.0%EV-31.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 11:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 24.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−27.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 11:00
- over 25.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−29.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 11:00
- over 26.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate−31.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 11:00
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate−31.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 11:00
- over 28.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate−33.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 11:00
- over 29.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−34.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 11:00
- over 30.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate22.2%Closing EV estimate−34.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 11:00

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 13:04: over 27.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Spain total

Open match →VIPLost

over 19.52.65 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveArchived model estimateover 19.52.35Model chance51.1%EV+20.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the archived model estimate. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15odds1.31Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- over 15.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 16odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 16.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 17odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 17.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 18odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 18.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 19odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 20odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 19.52.65Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 09:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 16.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 17.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 18.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.65Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
KambiClosing estimateover 19.52.02Model chance39.2%EV-20.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 12:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 17.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate−14.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 18.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate−20.9%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 20.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate−24.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
SuperbetClosing estimateover 19.52.02Model chance39.2%EV-20.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 16.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:00
- over 17.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate−14.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
- over 18.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate−20.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 12:01: over 19.5 at 2.65 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 3 units staked

Profit−3.00units

W / L0 / 3picks

Avg odds2.32settled picks

Recorded picks31 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamCroatia Away teamSpain RefereeEric Lambrechts

Matches

Goal kicks · Croatia total

Shots · match total

Shots · Spain total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings