Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes — MLS
MLSMLS 2026
Sat 10 Oct··Dick's Sporting Goods Park·Drawn
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 6Corners3
- 1Cards1
- 13Shots9
- 10Shots on target3
- 16Fouls12
- 29Throw-ins14
- 5Offsides7
- 4Goal kicks9
- 2Saves9
- 9Tackles15
- 8Interceptions6
- 9Dribbles0
Board
Matches
Colorado RapidsvSan Jose EarthquakesMLS3 won / 1 lost · +2.15u · 4 picks
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 57.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationunder 5.51.91Model chance57.6%EV+10.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin7.9%
BetliveAt recommendationunder 5.51.85Model chance57.6%EV+6.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 15:15Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds4.05Closing chance estimate24.5%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.4%
- under 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin11.7%
- under 5.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin11.2%
- under 6.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin12.2%
- under 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin12.3%
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.51.80Model chance57.6%EV+3.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:09Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate24.5%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.1%
- under 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin13.3%
- under 5.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin14.4%
- under 6.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin13.1%
- under 7.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin12.9%
Paddy PowerAt recommendationunder 5.51.91Model chance54.0%EV+3.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 19:10Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate11.5%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin7.7%
- under 3.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate24.5%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin7.9%
- under 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin7.8%
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin7.9%
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 5.51.95Model chance57.6%EV+12.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:10Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate11.5%Closing EV estimate−19.3%margin7.7%
- under 3.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate24.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin7.7%
- under 4.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin7.9%
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin8.1%
- under 6.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin8.0%
- under 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin8.0%
- under 8.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin7.7%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.51.70Model chance58.0%EV-1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin14.0%
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin14.4%
- under 6.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin14.1%
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.51.74Model chance58.0%EV+0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 19:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin8.8%
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.74Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin9.0%
- under 6.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin9.1%
- under 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin9.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 00:47: under 5.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 01:42. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 55.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 4.51.91Model chance55.5%EV+5.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin7.9%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.51.65Model chance53.6%EV-11.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 15:15Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate18.2%Closing EV estimate−23.5%margin12.3%
- under 3.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate35.0%Closing EV estimate−15.9%margin12.1%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin11.9%
- under 5.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin12.0%
- under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin12.4%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.51.65Model chance53.6%EV-11.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate35.0%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin14.0%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin14.7%
- under 5.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin14.0%
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.51.64Model chance53.6%EV-12.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 19:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds2.23Closing chance estimate35.0%Closing EV estimate−21.8%margin8.9%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.64Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin9.1%
- under 5.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin9.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.60Model chance53.6%EV-14.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:09Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate18.2%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin12.8%
- under 3.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate35.0%Closing EV estimate−15.9%margin13.1%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate−14.2%margin13.8%
- under 5.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin12.7%
- under 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin12.8%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.51.75Model chance53.6%EV-6.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 19:10Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate18.2%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin7.9%
- under 3.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate35.0%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin8.2%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin8.4%
- under 5.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin8.1%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.77Model chance53.6%EV-5.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:10Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate6.6%Closing EV estimate−50.2%margin7.7%
- under 2.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate18.2%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin8.3%
- under 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate35.0%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin7.9%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.77Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin7.8%
- under 5.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin8.4%
- under 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin7.9%
- under 7.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin7.8%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 4.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.51.96Model chance51.1%EV+0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 19:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin11.1%
- over 8.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.0%
- over 9.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin11.4%
- over 10.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin10.9%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.52.07Model chance51.7%EV+7.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin11.1%
- over 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin11.2%
- over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin10.3%
- over 8.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin8.2%
- over 9.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin8.4%
- over 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin9.9%
- over 11.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate28.2%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin7.9%
- over 12.5odds4.55Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin11.3%
- over 13.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate12.9%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin11.4%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.51.85Model chance50.5%EV-6.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin14.5%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin14.7%
- over 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin14.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 1.96 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 50.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +14.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 5.52.28Model chance50.0%EV+14.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 19:10Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin11.1%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 5.52.00Model chance50.6%EV+1.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin14.3%
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin14.5%
- over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate29.4%Closing EV estimate−20.6%margin14.0%
KambiAt recommendationover 5.52.28Model chance51.5%EV+17.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 19:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin11.6%
- over 4.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin11.2%
- over 5.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin11.1%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 5.52.27Model chance51.5%EV+17.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin10.9%
- over 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin8.0%
- over 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin8.6%
- over 5.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin8.6%
- over 6.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate29.4%Closing EV estimate−11.8%margin10.9%
- over 7.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate17.8%Closing EV estimate−21.5%margin11.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 5.5 at 2.28 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 14:07. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions
This match
Around this match
Previous meetings
- Sat 10 MayColorado Rapids 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes
- Sat 15 MarSan Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Colorado Rapids
- Sat 11 MayColorado Rapids 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes
- Sat 13 AprSan Jose Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado Rapids
- Sat 3 JunColorado Rapids 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes
- Sat 11 MarSan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Colorado Rapids
- Wed 14 SepColorado Rapids 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes
- Sat 7 MaySan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Colorado Rapids
- Sat 4 SepSan Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Colorado Rapids
- Sat 17 JulColorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes