Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union — MLS

MLSMLS 2026

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Chicago FirevPhiladelphia UnionMLS1 pick · 0 active

Corners · Chicago Fire total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended
over 4.51.97 at Superbet

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 4.52.00Model chance52.6%EV+5.2%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 13:29

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 4.5best current valueodds2.00Current model chance53.4%Current EV+6.8%margin7.9%Validated estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 4.51.86Model chance53.9%EV+0.3%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 06:15

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 3.5odds1.44Current model chance68.6%Current EV−1.2%margin8.7%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.85Current model chance53.4%Current EV−1.2%margin9.0%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.50Current model chance38.8%Current EV−2.9%margin9.0%Validated estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.45Current model chance26.3%Current EV−9.3%margin9.0%Validated estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.51.97Model chance52.6%EV+3.7%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 12 Oct, 18:32

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 1.5odds1.06Current model chance92.6%Current EV−1.8%margin7.9%Validated estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.22Current model chance82.4%Current EV+0.5%margin7.9%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.50Current model chance68.6%Current EV+2.9%margin8.0%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5best current valueodds1.97Current model chance53.4%Current EV+5.2%margin7.9%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.72Current model chance38.8%Current EV+5.7%margin8.2%Validated estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.90Current model chance26.3%Current EV+2.5%margin8.3%Validated estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.75Current model chance16.5%Current EV−5.0%margin8.3%Validated estimate
  • BetliveCurrentover 4.51.75Model chance53.4%EV-6.5%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:43

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.09Current model chance82.4%Current EV−10.2%margin11.7%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.33Current model chance68.6%Current EV−8.8%margin12.2%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5same line and oddsodds1.75Current model chance53.4%Current EV−6.5%margin11.2%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.50Current model chance38.8%Current EV−2.9%margin11.9%Validated estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.95Current model chance26.3%Current EV+3.9%margin12.3%Validated estimate
  • CrocobetCurrentover 4.51.70Model chance53.4%EV-9.2%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 04:28

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 3.5odds1.33Current model chance68.6%Current EV−8.8%margin13.6%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance53.4%Current EV−9.2%margin14.4%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.35Current model chance38.8%Current EV−8.7%margin14.0%Validated estimate
  • LiderbetCurrentover 4.51.70Model chance53.4%EV-9.2%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 07:04

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.06Current model chance82.4%Current EV−12.7%margin13.2%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.31Current model chance68.6%Current EV−10.2%margin12.7%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance53.4%Current EV−9.2%margin14.4%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.50Current model chance38.8%Current EV−2.9%margin13.0%Validated estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.10Current model chance26.3%Current EV+7.8%margin12.9%Validated estimate
  • Paddy PowerCurrentover 4.52.00Model chance53.4%EV+6.8%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 07:41

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.17Current model chance82.4%Current EV−3.9%margin7.9%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.50Current model chance68.6%Current EV+2.9%margin8.3%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5best current valueodds2.00Current model chance53.4%Current EV+6.8%margin7.9%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.00Current model chance38.8%Current EV+16.5%margin8.4%Validated estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 04:37: over 4.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 15:10. The original pick remains in the results.

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