Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union — MLS
MLSMLS 2026
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Chicago FirevPhiladelphia UnionMLS1 pick · 0 active
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 52.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationover 4.52.00Model chance52.6%EV+5.2%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 13:29Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 4.5best current valueodds2.00Current model chance53.4%Current EV+6.8%margin7.9%
KambiAt recommendationover 4.51.86Model chance53.9%EV+0.3%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 06:15Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 3.5odds1.44Current model chance68.6%Current EV−1.2%margin8.7%
- over 4.5odds1.85Current model chance53.4%Current EV−1.2%margin9.0%
- over 5.5odds2.50Current model chance38.8%Current EV−2.9%margin9.0%
- over 6.5odds3.45Current model chance26.3%Current EV−9.3%margin9.0%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.51.97Model chance52.6%EV+3.7%
Current bookmaker linesas of 12 Oct, 18:32Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 1.5odds1.06Current model chance92.6%Current EV−1.8%margin7.9%
- over 2.5odds1.22Current model chance82.4%Current EV+0.5%margin7.9%
- over 3.5odds1.50Current model chance68.6%Current EV+2.9%margin8.0%
- over 4.5best current valueodds1.97Current model chance53.4%Current EV+5.2%margin7.9%
- over 5.5odds2.72Current model chance38.8%Current EV+5.7%margin8.2%
- over 6.5odds3.90Current model chance26.3%Current EV+2.5%margin8.3%
- over 7.5odds5.75Current model chance16.5%Current EV−5.0%margin8.3%
BetliveCurrentover 4.51.75Model chance53.4%EV-6.5%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:43Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 2.5odds1.09Current model chance82.4%Current EV−10.2%margin11.7%
- over 3.5odds1.33Current model chance68.6%Current EV−8.8%margin12.2%
- over 4.5same line and oddsodds1.75Current model chance53.4%Current EV−6.5%margin11.2%
- over 5.5odds2.50Current model chance38.8%Current EV−2.9%margin11.9%
- over 6.5odds3.95Current model chance26.3%Current EV+3.9%margin12.3%
CrocobetCurrentover 4.51.70Model chance53.4%EV-9.2%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 04:28Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 3.5odds1.33Current model chance68.6%Current EV−8.8%margin13.6%
- over 4.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance53.4%Current EV−9.2%margin14.4%
- over 5.5odds2.35Current model chance38.8%Current EV−8.7%margin14.0%
LiderbetCurrentover 4.51.70Model chance53.4%EV-9.2%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 07:04Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 2.5odds1.06Current model chance82.4%Current EV−12.7%margin13.2%
- over 3.5odds1.31Current model chance68.6%Current EV−10.2%margin12.7%
- over 4.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance53.4%Current EV−9.2%margin14.4%
- over 5.5odds2.50Current model chance38.8%Current EV−2.9%margin13.0%
- over 6.5odds4.10Current model chance26.3%Current EV+7.8%margin12.9%
Paddy PowerCurrentover 4.52.00Model chance53.4%EV+6.8%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 07:41Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 2.5odds1.17Current model chance82.4%Current EV−3.9%margin7.9%
- over 3.5odds1.50Current model chance68.6%Current EV+2.9%margin8.3%
- over 4.5best current valueodds2.00Current model chance53.4%Current EV+6.8%margin7.9%
- over 5.5odds3.00Current model chance38.8%Current EV+16.5%margin8.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 04:37: over 4.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 15:10. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions
This match
No settled results yet. 1 active suggestion across 1 listed match.
Around this match
Previous meetings
- Sat 21 MarPhiladelphia Union 1-2 Chicago Fire
- Sat 1 NovChicago Fire 0-3 Philadelphia Union
- Sun 26 OctPhiladelphia Union 2-2 Chicago Fire
- Sat 23 AugPhiladelphia Union 4-0 Chicago Fire
- Wed 25 JunChicago Fire 0-1 Philadelphia Union
- Wed 3 JulChicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia Union
- Sat 24 FebPhiladelphia Union 2-2 Chicago Fire
- Sat 15 AprChicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia Union
- Sat 11 MarPhiladelphia Union 1-0 Chicago Fire
- Sat 13 AugPhiladelphia Union 4-1 Chicago Fire