Chicago Fire vs New York City FC 2-1

MLSMLS 2026

Chicago Fire

2–1

HT 0–1

New York City FC

Sat 10 Oct·12:30·Soldier Field·Chicago Fire won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners4
4Cards0
14Shots12
4Shots on target6
18Fouls10
28Throw-ins17
4Offsides2
4Goal kicks6
5Saves2
14Tackles17
12Interceptions8
7Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

5 Free1 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

12:30Chicago FirevNew York City FCMLS2 won / 4 lost · −2.02u · 6 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 3.51.91 at Bet365+0.91u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +7.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.51.91Model chance56.3%EV+7.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:51
BetliveAt recommendationover 3.51.80Model chance56.3%EV+1.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:31
- over 3odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:32
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 4odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 04:32
- over 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 5.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:31
CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.51.80Model chance56.3%EV+1.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 04:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:03
- over 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:33
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:03
- over 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:03
- over 5.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:33
LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.51.80Model chance56.3%EV+1.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:06
- over 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:36
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:06
- over 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:06
- over 5.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:35
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.51.90Model chance56.3%EV+6.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:08
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate+356.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:08
- over 1.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+985.1%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:08
- over 3.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:08
- over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:08
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.51.86Model chance55.6%EV+3.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:08
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.86Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:08
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.51.87Model chance55.6%EV+3.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 15:48: over 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 9.51.91 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.51.91Model chance55.2%EV+5.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:51
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.51.80Model chance56.9%EV+2.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate93.2%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 8.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate45.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate34.2%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 12.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate24.7%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 13.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.51.80Model chance56.9%EV+2.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:04
- over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate45.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate34.2%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.51.80Model chance56.9%EV+2.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate45.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate34.2%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.52.10Model chance56.9%EV+19.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:45
- over 10.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate45.1%Closing EV estimate+29.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:45
- over 11.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate34.2%Closing EV estimate+36.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:45
- over 12.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate24.7%Closing EV estimate+35.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:45
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.51.90Model chance56.9%EV+8.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate93.2%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 8.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 10.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate45.1%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 11.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate34.2%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 12.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate24.7%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 13.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 14.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate11.3%Closing EV estimate−22.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · New York City FC total

Open match →FreeLost

over 4.52.20 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +14.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.52.20Model chance52.0%EV+14.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 16:38
- over 3.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 16:38
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.52.37Model chance52.0%EV+23.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.0%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate94.4%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 3.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.37Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+19.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 5.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 6.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate20.1%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.52.30Model chance50.2%EV+15.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:01
- over 3.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:01
- over 5.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:01
- over 6.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate20.1%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.52.10Model chance50.2%EV+5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:04
- over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:04
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:04
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.52.30Model chance50.2%EV+15.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:07
- over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:07
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:07
- over 5.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:07
- over 6.5odds6.65Closing chance estimate20.1%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:07
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.52.88Model chance50.2%EV+44.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40
- over 3.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.88Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+44.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40
- over 5.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate+60.0%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 12:47: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 26.52.02 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +4.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 26.52.02Model chance51.6%EV+4.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- over 22.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate79.6%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 23.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 24.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 25.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 26.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 27.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate48.4%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 28.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate41.9%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 29.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 30.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 16:03: over 26.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 12:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · New York City FC total

Open match →FreeWon

over 11.52.07 at Superbet+1.07u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +18.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.52.07Model chance57.0%EV+18.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:37
- over 8.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 10.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 11.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 13.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 14.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 16:03: over 11.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Chicago Fire total

Open match →FreeLost

over 5.52.10 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +13.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 5.52.00Model chance53.2%EV+6.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.52.10Model chance54.1%EV+13.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 3.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 4.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 5.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 6.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 7.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
- over 8.5odds5.15Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−23.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 06:36: over 5.5 at 2.10 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 12:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−33.7%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−2.02units

W / L2 / 4picks

Avg odds2.04settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionMLS Home teamChicago Fire Away teamNew York City FC RefereeBrandon Stevis

Matches

Cards · match total

Corners · match total

Corners · New York City FC total

Shots · match total

Shots · New York City FC total

Shots on target · Chicago Fire total

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