Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City 1-1 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Charlton Athletic

1–1

HT 1–1

Bristol City

Sat 10 Oct·05:30·Matchday 9·The Valley·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners5
2Cards1
12Shots13
4Shots on target3
13Fouls11
28Throw-ins25
0Offsides1
8Goal kicks6
2Saves3
10Tackles18
7Interceptions9
7Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

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Board

Matches

1 match

05:30Charlton AthleticvBristol CityChampionship4 won / 3 lost · +0.66u · 7 picks

Cards · Bristol City total

Open match →VIPWon

under 1.52.00 at Superbet+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +4.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationunder 1.51.95Model chance52.1%EV+1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:41
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds1.93Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.00Model chance52.0%EV+4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−80.7%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.51.80Model chance50.5%EV-9.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:01
- under 2odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:01
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.51.85Model chance50.5%EV-6.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:34
- under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 1.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Charlton Athletic total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.51.86 at BetMGM UK+0.86u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.51.86Model chance58.2%EV+8.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
KambiAt recommendationover 4.51.86Model chance58.2%EV+8.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:41
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:09
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.86Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
- over 6.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate31.0%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.51.83Model chance63.0%EV+15.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.51.65Model chance63.0%EV+3.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:00
- over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:00
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:00
- over 5.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:00
- over 6.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate31.0%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:00
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.60Model chance63.0%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:33
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:33
- over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:33
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.60Model chance63.0%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
- over 3.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
- over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
- over 6.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate31.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.51.75Model chance63.0%EV+10.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.51.85Model chance63.0%EV+16.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate97.0%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 5.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate31.0%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 7.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate19.0%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 4.5 at 1.86 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Bristol City total

Open match →FreeWon

under 5.51.90 at Betlive+0.90u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +9.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.51.90Model chance57.5%EV+9.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−22.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- under 4.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:00
- under 5.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:00
- under 6.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- under 7.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.51.90Model chance57.5%EV+9.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−20.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
- under 4.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
- under 5.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
- under 6.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
- under 7.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.51.73Model chance57.6%EV-0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.51.50Model chance57.6%EV-13.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−20.5%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:33
- under 4.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:33
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:33
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.51.68Model chance57.6%EV-3.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 04:09
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−24.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
- under 4.5odds2.18Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:09
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
- under 6.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.51.60Model chance57.6%EV-7.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate11.2%Closing EV estimate−21.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- under 3.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- under 4.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.51.66Model chance57.6%EV-4.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate11.2%Closing EV estimate−39.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- under 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−22.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- under 4.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.66Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- under 6.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- under 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- under 8.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate91.0%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:06: under 5.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 2.52.12 at Pinnacle−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 2.51.95Model chance53.0%EV+3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 11:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 1odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 1.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 2odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 3odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 3.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 4odds5.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 4.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 5odds7.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 5.5odds7.60Closing chance estimate6.6%Closing EV estimate−49.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
CrocobetAt recommendationover 2.51.95Model chance53.0%EV+3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
- over 1odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
- over 1.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
- over 2odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
- over 3odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
- over 3.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:06
- over 4odds5.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
- over 4.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:33
- over 5odds7.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
- over 5.5odds7.60Closing chance estimate6.6%Closing EV estimate−49.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
LiderbetAt recommendationover 2.51.95Model chance53.0%EV+3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 1odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 1.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 2odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 3odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 3.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 4odds5.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 4.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 5odds7.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 5.5odds7.60Closing chance estimate6.6%Closing EV estimate−49.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 116.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.52.12Model chance53.0%EV+12.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2odds1.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 2.25odds1.86Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 2.5odds2.13Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin3.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.52.10Model chance53.4%EV+12.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:13
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin4.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
- over 1.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin5.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
- over 3.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
- over 4.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
- over 5.5odds17.00Closing chance estimate6.6%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin3.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.52.18Model chance53.4%EV+16.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin0.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 0.75odds1.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 1odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 1.25odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 1.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin0.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 1.75odds1.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 2odds1.61Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 2.25odds1.89Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.18Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin0.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 2.75odds2.54Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 3odds3.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 3.25odds3.67Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 3.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate+27.5%margin0.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 3.75odds5.31Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 4odds7.96Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 4.25odds8.58Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 4.5odds9.20Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate+41.9%margin1.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 4.75odds12.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 5odds22.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 5.25odds23.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 5.5odds24.00Closing chance estimate6.6%Closing EV estimate+58.9%margin1.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 5.75odds34.59Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 6odds63.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 6.25odds64.14Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 6.5odds65.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate+62.0%margin0.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.52.00Model chance53.4%EV+6.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 3.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
- over 4.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:25
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.52.12Model chance53.4%EV+13.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 11:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 1.25odds1.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.6%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 1.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 1.75odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.5%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 2odds1.56Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.7%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 2.25odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.8%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 2.75odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.6%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 3odds2.92Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 3.25odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 3.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin5.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 4.5odds7.70Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 5.5odds17.00Closing chance estimate6.6%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin3.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 6.5odds39.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin2.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 2.12 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 25.51.90 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +20.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.51.90Model chance63.4%EV+20.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:36
- over 23.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:36
- over 24.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate69.7%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:36
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:36
SuperbetClosing estimateover 25.51.90Model chance63.4%EV+20.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 20.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 21.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 22.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 23.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 24.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate69.7%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 26.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 27.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+27.8%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 28.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate43.5%Closing EV estimate+30.5%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 29.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+33.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:42: over 25.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Charlton Athletic total

Open match →VIPLost

over 12.52.30 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +29.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 12.52.30Model chance56.4%EV+29.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 9.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 10.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 11.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate48.4%Closing EV estimate−14.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 12.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−20.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 13.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate28.1%Closing EV estimate−27.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 14.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate20.2%Closing EV estimate−37.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.52.05Model chance37.7%EV-22.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:36
- over 11.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate48.4%Closing EV estimate−17.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:36
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:36
- over 13.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate28.1%Closing EV estimate−29.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:47: over 12.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 13:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Charlton Athletic total

Open match →FreeWon

over 3.51.90 at Superbet+0.90u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +2.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.51.90Model chance54.1%EV+2.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:39
- over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:39
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:39
- over 4.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−29.2%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 5.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate13.1%Closing EV estimate−43.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:39
- over 6.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−60.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:39
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.75Model chance43.9%EV-23.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:34
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate−23.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:34
- over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−36.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:34
KambiClosing estimateover 3.51.81Model chance43.9%EV-20.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:41
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.81Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate−20.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
- over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−29.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:09
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.80Model chance43.9%EV-21.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:36
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate−21.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:36
- over 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−31.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:47: over 3.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 13:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+9.4%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit+0.66units

W / L4 / 3picks

Avg odds2.00settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamCharlton Athletic Away teamBristol City RefereeTom Reeves

Matches

Cards · Bristol City total

Corners · Charlton Athletic total

Corners · Bristol City total

Goals · match total

Shots · match total

Shots · Charlton Athletic total

Shots on target · Charlton Athletic total

This match

Around this match

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