Central Córdoba vs Estudiantes de La Plata — Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Liga Profesional de FútbolPrimera LPF 2026

Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 12·Estadio Alfredo Terrera·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 8Corners2
  • 1Cards1
  • 22Shots15
  • 8Shots on target6
  • 15Fouls10
  • 18Throw-ins12
  • 2Offsides1
  • 8Goal kicks4
  • 3Saves6
  • 25Tackles21
  • 5Interceptions5
  • 9Dribbles3
2 Free0 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match
Central CórdobavEstudiantes de La PlataLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 won / 1 lost · −0.05u · 2 picks

Cards · Estudiantes de La Plata total

Open match →FreeWon
under 2.51.95 at Superbet+0.95u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +9.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 2.51.85Model chance55.2%EV+2.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate28.2%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.51.95Model chance56.0%EV+9.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:09

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate8.0%Closing EV estimate−91.5%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 2.51.68Model chance53.7%EV-9.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:43

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 08:51: under 2.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Central Córdoba total

Open match →FreeLost
under 3.52.08 at BetMGM UK−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +17.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.08Model chance56.4%EV+17.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 13:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 3.52.50Model chance56.4%EV+41.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.52.10Model chance38.3%EV-19.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate−32.4%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate−19.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−14.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.52.72Model chance38.3%EV+4.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:07

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds8.80Closing chance estimate7.7%Closing EV estimate−32.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds4.55Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.72Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate85.0%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate92.3%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 14:18: under 3.5 at 2.08 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−2.5%ROI · 2 units staked
Profit−0.05units
W / L1 / 1picks
Avg odds2.02settled picks
Recorded picks21 matches

Around this match

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