Catanzaro vs Mantova — Serie B

Serie BSerie B 26/27

Catanzaro

1–3

HT 0–2

Mantova

Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 6·Stadio Nicola Ceravolo·Mantova won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 5Corners6
  • 2Cards2
  • 14Shots17
  • 4Shots on target8
  • 8Fouls13
  • 23Throw-ins15
  • 2Offsides0
  • 9Goal kicks12
  • 5Saves3
  • 16Tackles23
  • 11Interceptions8
  • 8Dribbles6
5 Free0 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match
CatanzarovMantovaSerie B3 won / 2 lost · +1.08u · 5 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost
under 3.52.42 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +22.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.42Model chance50.7%EV+22.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate2.6%Closing EV estimate−96.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate69.9%Closing EV estimate+22.3%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.52.45Model chance50.7%EV+24.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate69.9%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailable
    • under 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.52.50Model chance50.7%EV+26.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+26.8%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate69.9%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 3.5 at 2.42 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Catanzaro total

Open match →FreeLost
under 1.52.10 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.10Model chance50.1%EV+5.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailable
    • under 2.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.30Model chance50.1%EV+15.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate−80.5%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.52.20Model chance49.8%EV+9.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 04:04: under 1.5 at 2.10 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 05:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon
over 9.51.91 at Bet365+0.91u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +3.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.51.91Model chance54.4%EV+3.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:56

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 9.51.86Model chance54.4%EV+1.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.51.80Model chance54.4%EV-2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−16.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.51.80Model chance54.4%EV-2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.51.90Model chance54.4%EV+3.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate10.4%Closing EV estimate−28.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Mantova total

Open match →FreeWon
over 4.52.10 at Bet365+1.10u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.52.10Model chance51.9%EV+9.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.51.97Model chance51.9%EV+2.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 4.51.93Model chance51.9%EV+0.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:23

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.93Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.51.80Model chance53.9%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.75Model chance53.9%EV-5.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.52.07Model chance53.9%EV+11.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate13.2%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon
over 9.52.07 at Superbet+1.07u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +5.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.52.07Model chance51.1%EV+5.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate20.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate13.6%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 15:11: over 9.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+21.6%ROI · 5 units staked
Profit+1.08units
W / L3 / 2picks
Avg odds2.12settled picks
Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

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