Cagliari vs Juventus — Serie A
Serie ASerie A 26/27
Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 6·Unipol Domus, Cagliari·Drawn
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 1Corners9
- 2Cards1
- 4Shots22
- 2Shots on target10
- 8Fouls8
- 12Throw-ins20
- 2Offsides2
- 16Goal kicks2
- 9Saves1
- 24Tackles21
- 11Interceptions3
- 9Dribbles11
Board
Matches
CagliarivJuventusSerie A10 won / 4 lost · +6.02u · 14 picks
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +5.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.52.00Model chance58.1%EV+16.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.5%
- under 2odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%
- under 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin12.1%
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.52.00Model chance58.1%EV+16.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.5%
- under 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin11.6%
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.52.12Model chance53.9%EV+14.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin9.3%
- under 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin9.2%
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.51.95Model chance53.9%EV+5.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 13:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin11.9%
- under 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.1%
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.47Model chance53.9%EV+33.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate−76.2%margin9.7%
- under 1.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+43.6%margin8.2%
- under 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin8.3%
- under 3.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin10.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 13:42: under 1.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.51.90Model chance54.6%EV+3.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin11.5%
- under 2odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%
- under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin12.0%
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.51.90Model chance55.9%EV+6.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin11.5%
- under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin12.0%
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.51.85Model chance55.9%EV+3.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin9.0%
- under 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin9.0%
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.51.95Model chance51.7%EV+0.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 13:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin11.9%
- under 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin12.1%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.51.74Model chance55.7%EV-3.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate22.3%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin9.7%
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.74Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin7.5%
- under 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin10.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 10 Oct, 08:27: under 1.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 66.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +22.4%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveAt recommendationunder 3.51.85Model chance57.8%EV+7.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−17.7%margin12.2%
- under 2.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin12.0%
- under 3.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.9%
- under 4.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin12.1%
- under 5.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin12.4%
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.51.85Model chance66.2%EV+22.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin11.8%
- under 2.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.6%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin11.2%
- under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin11.8%
- under 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin12.0%
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.51.80Model chance57.0%EV+2.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin7.9%
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.51.71Model chance57.0%EV-2.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−27.4%margin9.2%
- under 2.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin9.0%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin9.0%
- under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin9.2%
- under 5.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin9.3%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.51.70Model chance57.0%EV-3.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin12.7%
- under 2.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin12.9%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.9%
- under 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin12.6%
- under 5.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin13.0%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.51.85Model chance57.0%EV+5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin8.4%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin8.1%
- under 4.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin8.1%
- under 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin8.3%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.51.80Model chance57.0%EV+2.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate3.9%Closing EV estimate−49.3%margin5.7%
- under 1.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−21.0%margin7.4%
- under 2.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin6.9%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin6.8%
- under 4.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin7.0%
- under 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin7.1%
- under 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin7.4%
- under 7.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate97.4%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin6.3%
- under 8.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.0%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin5.3%
- under 9.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.6%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin3.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 3.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:51. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 75.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.33. Expected value at recommendation: +54.3%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveAt recommendationunder 23.52.05Model chance75.3%EV+54.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 21.5odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 22odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- under 22.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
- under 23odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+54.3%margin13.3%
- under 24odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- under 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+46.1%margin11.1%
- under 25odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+37.6%margin12.5%
- under 26odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 26.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin12.1%
- under 27odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%
- under 27.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate92.9%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.0%
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 23.52.00Model chance75.3%EV+50.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 21.5odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 22.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+50.5%margin12.5%
- under 24.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+42.0%margin11.2%
- under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+37.6%margin12.5%
- under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin12.2%
- under 27.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate92.9%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin12.0%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.52.05Model chance75.3%EV+54.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 22.5odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
- under 23.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+39.3%margin7.5%
- under 24.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+31.5%margin8.2%
- under 25.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+32.5%margin8.0%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.52.05Model chance75.3%EV+54.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 21.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%
- under 22.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+54.3%margin13.3%
- under 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+46.1%margin11.1%
- under 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+33.3%margin13.3%
- under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin13.1%
- under 27.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate92.9%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin12.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 11 Oct, 01:06: under 23.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 60.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +19.4%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 11.52.35Model chance60.6%EV+42.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+43.7%margin14.0%
- under 12.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+46.7%margin11.3%
- under 13.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+36.4%margin11.5%
- under 14.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+26.0%margin12.4%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.51.97Model chance60.6%EV+19.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin7.9%
- under 12.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin8.1%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.52.45Model chance61.2%EV+49.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 10.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate+63.4%margin12.3%
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+49.8%margin12.2%
- under 12.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+39.6%margin11.9%
- under 13.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+32.3%margin11.9%
- under 14.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 11.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +33.3%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 18.52.55Model chance52.3%EV+33.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 14.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin11.8%
- over 15odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
- over 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.1%
- over 16odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- over 16.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin11.1%
- over 17odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- over 17.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate61.4%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin12.1%
- over 18odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.55Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+33.3%margin12.2%
- over 19odds3.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.52.65Model chance52.3%EV+38.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 14.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin11.8%
- over 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.1%
- over 16.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin11.2%
- over 17.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate61.4%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin12.1%
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.65Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+38.5%margin11.8%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.52.60Model chance52.3%EV+35.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 13.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate89.8%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin12.6%
- over 14.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin12.5%
- over 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.1%
- over 16.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin11.1%
- over 17.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate61.4%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin14.3%
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.60Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin12.0%
- over 19.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin12.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 11 Oct, 04:04: over 18.5 at 2.55 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 71.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.40. Expected value at recommendation: +68.0%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.52.40Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate92.1%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin12.0%
- over 8odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin12.1%
- over 9odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- over 9.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+47.9%margin11.5%
- over 10odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.52.35Model chance71.5%EV+68.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin13.2%
- over 9.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+44.0%margin12.9%
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.52.30Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin12.1%
- over 9.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+44.0%margin11.2%
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.51.95Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+29.2%margin8.6%
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 11 Oct, 03:36: over 10.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 12:18. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +6.8%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveAt recommendationunder 6.52.10Model chance56.0%EV+17.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.1%
- under 7odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%
- under 7.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.9%
- under 8odds1.44Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin11.8%
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 6.52.00Model chance51.0%EV+2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 5.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.0%
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin12.5%
- under 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.1%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.51.92Model chance55.6%EV+6.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−9.9%margin8.2%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.52.00Model chance50.1%EV+0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin12.2%
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin12.5%
- under 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 10 Oct, 23:06: under 6.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 12:18. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +2.6%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.52.00Model chance51.3%EV+2.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:15Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin4.5%
- over 1.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin4.4%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin5.6%
- over 3.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin4.4%
- over 4.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin5.2%
- over 5.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin3.8%
PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.52.05Model chance51.3%EV+5.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.25odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.9%
- over 2.5odds2.13Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin2.9%
- over 2.75odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.8%
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.52.16Model chance51.3%EV+10.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin0.6%
- over 0.75odds1.09Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%
- over 1odds1.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%
- over 1.25odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.3%
- over 1.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin0.8%
- over 1.75odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%
- over 2odds1.59Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%
- over 2.25odds1.87Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.6%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.16Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin0.4%
- over 2.75odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.7%
- over 3odds3.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%
- over 3.25odds3.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%
- over 3.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin0.2%
- over 3.75odds5.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%
- over 4odds7.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.6%
- over 4.25odds8.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.4%
- over 4.5odds9.00Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate+27.0%margin0.4%
- over 4.75odds12.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%
- over 5odds1.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin95.2%
- over 5.25odds22.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.7%
- over 5.5odds23.00Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate+35.5%margin0.5%
- over 5.75odds33.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%
- over 6odds63.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.6%
- over 6.25odds64.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.6%
- over 6.5odds65.00Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate+40.1%margin0.5%
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.51.95Model chance51.3%EV+0.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.9%
- over 1odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%
- over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin10.3%
- over 2odds1.49Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin10.1%
- over 3odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.0%
- over 3.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin10.1%
- over 4odds5.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%
- over 4.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin9.8%
- over 5odds8.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%
- over 5.5odds8.60Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−49.3%margin9.7%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.51.95Model chance51.3%EV+0.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.9%
- over 1odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%
- over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin10.3%
- over 2odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin10.1%
- over 3odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.0%
- over 3.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin10.1%
- over 4odds5.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%
- over 4.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin9.8%
- over 5odds8.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%
- over 5.5odds8.60Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−49.3%margin9.7%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.51.95Model chance51.3%EV+0.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.9%
- over 1odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%
- over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin10.3%
- over 2odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin10.1%
- over 3odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 3.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin10.1%
- over 4odds5.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%
- over 4.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin9.8%
- over 5odds8.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%
- over 5.5odds8.60Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−49.3%margin9.7%
- over 118.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 120.5odds1.86Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.5%
- over 124.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.52.00Model chance51.3%EV+2.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin8.2%
- over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin8.2%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin7.9%
- over 3.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin8.1%
- over 4.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin8.6%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.52.07Model chance51.3%EV+6.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin5.1%
- over 0.75odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- over 1odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- over 1.25odds1.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- over 1.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin4.8%
- over 1.75odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%
- over 2odds1.52Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.6%
- over 2.25odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.6%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin5.1%
- over 2.75odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.8%
- over 3odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- over 3.25odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%
- over 3.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin5.3%
- over 3.75odds4.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.6%
- over 4odds5.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- over 4.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin4.8%
- over 5.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin3.3%
- over 6.5odds36.00Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate−22.4%margin2.1%
- over 7.5odds85.00Closing chance estimate0.7%Closing EV estimate−40.5%margin1.1%
- over 8.5odds150.00Closing chance estimate0.2%Closing EV estimate−69.3%margin—
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 59.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +13.7%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 26.51.91Model chance59.6%EV+13.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+34.0%margin7.9%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.52.00Model chance70.2%EV+40.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 23.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin12.2%
- over 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin12.5%
- over 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin11.1%
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin12.5%
- over 27.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+47.9%margin12.4%
- over 28.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+59.7%margin11.6%
- over 29.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+47.6%margin12.0%
KambiClosing estimateover 26.51.87Model chance70.2%EV+31.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 23.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin11.3%
- over 24.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin11.0%
- over 25.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+25.7%margin11.0%
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin10.9%
- over 27.5odds2.14Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+37.6%margin11.2%
- over 28.5odds2.48Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+44.1%margin10.7%
- over 29.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+49.1%margin11.6%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 26.52.02Model chance59.6%EV+20.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 22.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin8.0%
- over 23.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin8.0%
- over 24.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin8.2%
- over 25.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin7.9%
- over 26.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin8.1%
- over 27.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+38.2%margin7.9%
- over 28.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+46.4%margin7.7%
- over 29.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+52.7%margin8.0%
- over 30.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+61.5%margin8.2%
BetliveClosing estimateover 26.52.00Model chance70.2%EV+40.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 22.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin12.0%
- over 23odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 23.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.1%
- over 24odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- over 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin13.3%
- over 25odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- over 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin11.1%
- over 26odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin12.5%
- over 27odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- over 27.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+51.1%margin12.0%
- over 28odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%
- over 28.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+62.6%margin12.1%
- over 29odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
- over 29.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+42.4%margin12.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.52.00Model chance70.2%EV+40.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 22.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin12.6%
- over 23.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin13.1%
- over 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin12.1%
- over 25.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+28.7%margin14.4%
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin12.5%
- over 27.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+47.9%margin14.9%
- over 28.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+56.8%margin13.4%
- over 29.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+45.0%margin13.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 26.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +7.6%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.51.91Model chance56.4%EV+7.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 9.51.80Model chance42.0%EV-24.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−24.4%margin11.7%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.51.80Model chance42.0%EV-24.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 8odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- under 8.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−31.4%margin12.0%
- under 9odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−24.4%margin11.1%
- under 10odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%
- under 10.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−20.4%margin12.0%
- under 11odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- under 11.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin12.0%
- under 12odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.51.85Model chance42.0%EV-22.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 7.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate20.3%Closing EV estimate−33.1%margin12.3%
- under 8.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−29.8%margin12.4%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−22.3%margin11.2%
- under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin12.1%
- under 11.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−15.7%margin12.0%
- under 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.0%
KambiClosing estimateunder 9.51.75Model chance42.0%EV-26.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 8.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−35.3%margin11.7%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−26.5%margin11.2%
- under 10.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−19.9%margin11.6%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.51.85Model chance42.0%EV-22.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 8.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−28.3%margin11.5%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−22.3%margin12.9%
- under 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−19.3%margin13.2%
- under 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin12.1%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.52.10Model chance42.0%EV-11.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate12.1%Closing EV estimate−46.0%margin7.9%
- under 7.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate20.3%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin7.9%
- under 8.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−21.6%margin9.8%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−11.8%margin7.9%
- under 10.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin7.8%
- under 11.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin9.7%
- under 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin8.0%
- under 13.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 08:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 65.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.53. Expected value at recommendation: +31.2%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 16.52.00Model chance65.6%EV+31.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+46.4%margin7.9%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.52.10Model chance73.2%EV+53.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 13.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin12.0%
- over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin12.1%
- over 15.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+39.9%margin11.2%
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+53.7%margin12.1%
- over 17.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
KambiClosing estimateover 16.51.85Model chance73.2%EV+35.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 15.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin11.3%
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin11.2%
- over 17.5odds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 16.51.85Model chance73.2%EV+35.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin11.9%
BetliveClosing estimateover 16.51.95Model chance73.2%EV+42.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 14odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%
- over 14.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin12.0%
- over 15odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%
- over 15.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin11.9%
- over 16odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+42.8%margin11.9%
- over 17odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 17.5odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 18odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 16.52.00Model chance73.2%EV+46.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin11.1%
- over 15.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin11.5%
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+46.4%margin12.5%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 16.51.97Model chance73.2%EV+44.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 12.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate93.8%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin7.9%
- over 13.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+23.7%margin7.8%
- over 14.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+31.1%margin7.9%
- over 15.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+37.5%margin8.1%
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+44.2%margin8.2%
- over 17.5odds2.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%
- over 18.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+59.7%margin10.2%
- over 19.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate+60.8%margin10.8%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 05:02: over 16.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 14:22. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +3.0%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationover 8.51.91Model chance62.5%EV+19.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+19.0%margin7.9%
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 8.52.02Model chance51.0%EV+3.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.6%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin12.5%
- over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin11.4%
- over 7.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin11.3%
- over 8.5odds1.98Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+23.5%margin11.1%
- over 9.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+28.9%margin10.9%
- over 10.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+32.2%margin11.5%
- over 11.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin12.3%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 8.52.22Model chance51.0%EV+13.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate96.2%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin8.2%
- over 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate91.6%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.3%
- over 6.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin8.1%
- over 7.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin8.0%
- over 8.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin8.0%
- over 9.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+48.7%margin8.0%
- over 10.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+49.0%margin11.2%
- over 11.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+45.4%margin11.6%
- over 12.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate17.7%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin10.6%
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.51.75Model chance62.4%EV+9.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- over 7.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin12.0%
- over 8odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin11.2%
- over 9odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- over 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.1%
- over 10odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%
- over 10.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin12.0%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.51.85Model chance62.4%EV+15.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.3%
- over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin12.1%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin11.2%
- over 9.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.4%
- over 10.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin12.3%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.51.80Model chance62.4%EV+12.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate91.6%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin12.3%
- over 6.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.2%
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin13.4%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin11.1%
- over 9.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.4%
- over 10.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin12.2%
- over 11.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin12.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 13:47: over 8.5 at 2.02 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 14:50. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.52.00Model chance51.4%EV+2.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin7.9%
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.51.80Model chance60.0%EV+7.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin12.2%
- over 5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin11.1%
- over 6odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%
- over 6.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.2%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.51.85Model chance60.0%EV+10.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin12.2%
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin11.2%
- over 6.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.2%
KambiClosing estimateover 5.51.89Model chance60.0%EV+13.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin11.8%
- over 4.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin11.1%
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.89Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin11.0%
- over 6.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin11.3%
- over 7.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin12.1%
- over 8.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin12.6%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.51.80Model chance60.0%EV+7.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.0%
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.7%
- over 6.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin12.5%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.52.15Model chance60.0%EV+28.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.5%
- over 3.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin8.2%
- over 4.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin7.9%
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+28.9%margin7.9%
- over 6.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+36.7%margin8.0%
- over 7.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate+28.3%margin11.0%
- over 8.5odds6.30Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin11.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 5.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:23. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions
This match
Around this match
Previous meetings
- Sat 17 JanCagliari 1-0 Juventus
- Sat 29 NovJuventus 2-1 Cagliari
- Sun 23 FebCagliari 0-1 Juventus
- Tue 17 DecJuventus 4-0 Cagliari
- Sun 6 OctJuventus 1-1 Cagliari
- Fri 19 AprCagliari 2-2 Juventus
- Sat 11 NovJuventus 2-1 Cagliari
- Sat 9 AprCagliari 1-2 Juventus
- Tue 21 DecJuventus 2-0 Cagliari
- Sun 14 MarCagliari 1-3 Juventus