Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor — Trendyol Süper Lig
Trendyol Süper LigSuper Lig 26/27
Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 7·Tüpraş Stadyum·Beşiktaş won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 4Corners7
- 1Cards2
- 16Shots11
- 6Shots on target6
- 11Fouls13
- 19Throw-ins22
- 2Offsides3
- 4Goal kicks10
- 5Saves4
- 12Tackles16
- 10Interceptions13
- 3Dribbles5
Board
Matches
BeşiktaşvKocaelisporTrendyol Süper Lig5 won / 5 lost · +0.40u · 10 picks
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 52.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.00Model chance51.4%EV+2.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin12.5%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.02Model chance52.5%EV+6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate−79.1%margin10.1%
- under 1.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin8.1%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.51.75Model chance52.3%EV-8.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin14.3%
- under 2odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.52.00Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin14.5%
- under 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin13.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 10:11: under 1.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 59.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +16.3%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.51.95Model chance61.3%EV+19.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.5%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin13.8%
- under 3odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%
- under 3.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin13.8%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.51.95Model chance59.6%EV+16.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate11.4%Closing EV estimate−87.6%margin10.4%
- under 2.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate61.5%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin8.5%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.52.00Model chance61.5%EV+23.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate35.4%Closing EV estimate+32.8%margin13.6%
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate61.5%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin14.5%
- under 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin14.0%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.52.05Model chance61.5%EV+26.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate61.5%Closing EV estimate+26.1%margin13.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 10:11: under 2.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +7.0%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.52.02Model chance53.0%EV+7.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:45Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin9.5%
Bet365Closing estimateunder 9.51.88Model chance47.9%EV-10.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:45Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin5.3%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.51.90Model chance47.9%EV-9.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate−24.1%margin11.7%
- under 7.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate−22.6%margin14.4%
- under 8.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin13.6%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin13.2%
- under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin14.5%
- under 11.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin14.1%
- under 12.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin12.3%
- under 13.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin12.4%
- under 14.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin11.6%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.51.90Model chance47.9%EV-9.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate−39.3%margin14.3%
- under 7.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate−22.6%margin14.4%
- under 8.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin14.1%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin13.2%
- under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin14.5%
- under 11.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin14.1%
- under 12.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin13.6%
KambiClosing estimateunder 9.51.97Model chance47.9%EV-5.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 7.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin9.0%
- under 8.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin9.1%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin8.9%
- under 10.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin9.3%
- under 11.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin9.5%
- under 12.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin9.2%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.51.90Model chance47.9%EV-9.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 7.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate−22.6%margin14.4%
- under 8.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin13.1%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin13.2%
- under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin14.5%
- under 11.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin14.1%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.52.00Model chance47.9%EV-4.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate3.8%Closing EV estimate−53.9%margin6.4%
- under 5.5odds7.10Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−41.3%margin8.4%
- under 6.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate−27.1%margin7.8%
- under 7.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate−16.5%margin8.2%
- under 8.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin8.2%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin8.1%
- under 10.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin7.9%
- under 11.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin8.1%
- under 12.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin8.0%
- under 13.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin8.5%
- under 14.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin8.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 9.5 at 2.02 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.52.03Model chance50.2%EV+1.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate−20.1%margin12.5%
- under 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin12.8%
- under 6.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin13.8%
- under 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin13.2%
- under 8.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin12.7%
- under 9.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin12.3%
Bet365Closing estimateunder 6.51.80Model chance45.9%EV-17.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:45Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 6.51.95Model chance45.9%EV-10.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:45Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin9.1%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.51.95Model chance45.9%EV-10.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate−22.0%margin12.3%
- under 5.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin11.8%
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin11.9%
- under 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin11.0%
- under 8.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin12.0%
- under 9.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin12.0%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.51.85Model chance45.9%EV-15.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−18.5%margin13.6%
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin14.7%
- under 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin14.3%
- under 8.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin13.9%
KambiClosing estimateunder 6.51.91Model chance45.9%EV-12.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 5.5odds2.33Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−27.0%margin9.6%
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin8.9%
- under 7.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin8.9%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.52.00Model chance45.9%EV-8.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate9.1%Closing EV estimate−43.4%margin7.9%
- under 4.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate−28.5%margin7.9%
- under 5.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin8.2%
- under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate−8.2%margin7.8%
- under 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin8.0%
- under 8.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin8.0%
- under 9.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin8.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 6.5 at 2.03 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:36. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +26.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 13.52.10Model chance60.0%EV+26.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+27.0%margin14.3%
- under 14.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin14.3%
- under 15.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin13.4%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 13.51.78Model chance60.5%EV+7.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 12.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin12.2%
- under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.78Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin8.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 11 Oct, 07:36: under 13.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 55.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +29.3%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.35Model chance55.0%EV+29.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+27.9%margin14.0%
- under 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin13.3%
- under 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin13.6%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.51.50Model chance54.4%EV-18.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate−52.2%margin14.2%
- under 2.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−31.1%margin14.3%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin14.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 11 Oct, 07:36: under 3.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 63.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +44.2%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 27.52.27Model chance63.5%EV+44.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 21.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- over 22.5odds1.18Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%
- over 23.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin7.7%
- over 24.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate86.5%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin9.9%
- over 25.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate+23.7%margin9.2%
- over 26.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate+31.5%margin8.7%
- over 27.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate+39.4%margin8.6%
- over 28.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+48.6%margin8.7%
- over 29.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+55.5%margin9.6%
- over 30.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+64.4%margin10.3%
- over 31.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+70.1%margin11.2%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 27.51.55Model chance72.6%EV+12.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin14.0%
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin13.3%
- over 28.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin14.4%
- over 29.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin14.4%
- over 30.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin14.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 10:11: over 27.5 at 2.27 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 10:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 64.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +42.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
LiderbetClosing estimateover 19.51.65Model chance67.4%EV+11.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 18.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin13.4%
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin14.7%
- over 20.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin13.8%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 19.52.22Model chance64.0%EV+42.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 14.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin11.0%
- over 15.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate90.2%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin7.8%
- over 16.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin8.1%
- over 17.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin8.1%
- over 18.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin7.9%
- over 19.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin8.2%
- over 20.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+22.8%margin8.3%
- over 21.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate52.2%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin7.9%
- over 22.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate44.5%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin7.9%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 10:11: over 19.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 18:04. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +17.2%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.51.95Model chance58.2%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin14.1%
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin13.8%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin13.8%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.52.30Model chance50.9%EV+17.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin8.0%
- over 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.4%
- over 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate90.2%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.3%
- over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin8.0%
- over 8.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin8.6%
- over 9.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate+30.6%margin8.3%
- over 10.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+37.5%margin10.1%
- over 11.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate41.4%Closing EV estimate+45.1%margin11.2%
- over 12.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate31.4%Closing EV estimate+50.6%margin10.9%
- over 13.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate+48.0%margin11.5%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.51.75Model chance63.7%EV+11.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin13.4%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin14.3%
- over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin13.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 10:11: over 9.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 10:36. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +13.5%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.52.17Model chance52.3%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.9%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.2%
- over 3.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.0%
- over 4.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate87.1%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin11.1%
- over 5.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin9.8%
- over 6.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate64.2%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin8.2%
- over 7.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin9.2%
- over 8.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin10.6%
- over 9.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate26.0%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin11.0%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.51.85Model chance64.2%EV+18.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin14.4%
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate64.2%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin14.7%
- over 7.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin14.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.51.60Model chance64.2%EV+2.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin14.0%
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate64.2%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin13.8%
- over 7.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin13.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 10 Oct, 11:36: over 6.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions